Recent KMA and global model guidance points to daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 3 amid typical late-summer humidity near 70% and light winds. Leading probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect ensemble spread in short-range forecasts, where modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak synoptic forcing can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Marine moderation from the nearby Yellow Sea and urban heat-island effects add local variability, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging keeps intensification potential limited. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official thermometer observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
33°C 33%
34°C 31%
32°C 18%
35°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
18%
33°C
33%
34°C
31%
35°C
13%
36°C or higher
6%
33°C 33%
34°C 31%
32°C 18%
35°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
18%
33°C
33%
34°C
31%
35°C
13%
36°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent KMA and global model guidance points to daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 3 amid typical late-summer humidity near 70% and light winds. Leading probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect ensemble spread in short-range forecasts, where modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak synoptic forcing can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Marine moderation from the nearby Yellow Sea and urban heat-island effects add local variability, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging keeps intensification potential limited. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official thermometer observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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