Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月10日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
7月10日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
31°C 66%
30°C 20%
32°C 12%
33°C 2.7%
最新
$26,842 交易量
最新
$26,842 交易量
2026-07-10
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
20%
31°C
66%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 66%
30°C 20%
32°C 12%
33°C 2.7%
最新
$26,842 交易量
最新
$26,842 交易量
2026-07-10
28°C or below
$796 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,047 交易量
2%
30°C
$5,837 交易量
20%
31°C
$5,962 交易量
66%
32°C
$3,290 交易量
12%
33°C
$1,472 交易量
3%
34°C
$1,098 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,698 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,375 交易量
<1%
37°C
$1,620 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,646 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$26,842結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,842結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions