Current forecast consensus from global models positions a daily high of 30–31°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on September 22, driven by a stable subtropical ridge, light westerly flow, and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that limits afternoon heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend after mid-September peaks near 35°C, with September 20–21 maxima around 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk. Climatological norms for late September hover near 29°C, supporting the market-implied odds while model spread and any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts could still alter the exact maximum recorded at the official station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月22日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
30°C 67%
31°C 30%
32°C 3%
29°C 2.0%
最新
$23,942 交易量
最新
$23,942 交易量
2026-09-22
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
67%
31°C
30%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或以上
<1%
30°C 67%
31°C 30%
32°C 3%
29°C 2.0%
最新
$23,942 交易量
最新
$23,942 交易量
2026-09-22
27°C或以下
$7,402 交易量
<1%
28°C
$961 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,345 交易量
2%
30°C
$4,982 交易量
67%
31°C
$4,945 交易量
30%
32°C
$1,686 交易量
3%
33°C
$15 交易量
<1%
34°C
$36 交易量
<1%
35°C
$37 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,397 交易量
<1%
37°C或以上
$1,137 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global models positions a daily high of 30–31°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on September 22, driven by a stable subtropical ridge, light westerly flow, and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that limits afternoon heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend after mid-September peaks near 35°C, with September 20–21 maxima around 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk. Climatological norms for late September hover near 29°C, supporting the market-implied odds while model spread and any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts could still alter the exact maximum recorded at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$23,942結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global models positions a daily high of 30–31°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on September 22, driven by a stable subtropical ridge, light westerly flow, and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that limits afternoon heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend after mid-September peaks near 35°C, with September 20–21 maxima around 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk. Climatological norms for late September hover near 29°C, supporting the market-implied odds while model spread and any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts could still alter the exact maximum recorded at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,942結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast consensus from global models positions a daily high of 30–31°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on September 22, driven by a stable subtropical ridge, light westerly flow, and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that limits afternoon heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend after mid-September peaks near 35°C, with September 20–21 maxima around 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk. Climatological norms for late September hover near 29°C, supporting the market-implied odds while model spread and any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts could still alter the exact maximum recorded at the official station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions