Persistent Pacific high-pressure patterns sustaining Japan's midsummer heatwave, with recent 38°C+ readings in Tokyo suburbs on July 22, underpin trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for the July 26 daily high. Official JMA and ensemble guidance show limited cooling through the weekend amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects, yet scattered thunderstorm risks and minor model spread introduce downside potential for 29–30°C or upside to 33°C+. Historical late-July baselines near 33°C provide context, but the tight distribution around 31°C reflects near-term forecast stability ahead of the next model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月26日東京氣溫最高？
7月26日東京氣溫最高？
30°C 31%
31°C 31%
32°C 19%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
31%
31°C
31%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
31°C 31%
32°C 19%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
26°C or below
$241 交易量
<1%
27°C
$93 交易量
2%
28°C
$101 交易量
6%
29°C
$109 交易量
13%
30°C
$189 交易量
31%
31°C
$134 交易量
31%
32°C
$172 交易量
19%
33°C
$151 交易量
5%
34°C
$181 交易量
2%
35°C
$133 交易量
1%
36°C or higher
$140 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Pacific high-pressure patterns sustaining Japan's midsummer heatwave, with recent 38°C+ readings in Tokyo suburbs on July 22, underpin trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for the July 26 daily high. Official JMA and ensemble guidance show limited cooling through the weekend amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects, yet scattered thunderstorm risks and minor model spread introduce downside potential for 29–30°C or upside to 33°C+. Historical late-July baselines near 33°C provide context, but the tight distribution around 31°C reflects near-term forecast stability ahead of the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,642結束日期
2026-07-26市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Pacific high-pressure patterns sustaining Japan's midsummer heatwave, with recent 38°C+ readings in Tokyo suburbs on July 22, underpin trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for the July 26 daily high. Official JMA and ensemble guidance show limited cooling through the weekend amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects, yet scattered thunderstorm risks and minor model spread introduce downside potential for 29–30°C or upside to 33°C+. Historical late-July baselines near 33°C provide context, but the tight distribution around 31°C reflects near-term forecast stability ahead of the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,642結束日期
2026-07-26市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETPersistent Pacific high-pressure patterns sustaining Japan's midsummer heatwave, with recent 38°C+ readings in Tokyo suburbs on July 22, underpin trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for the July 26 daily high. Official JMA and ensemble guidance show limited cooling through the weekend amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects, yet scattered thunderstorm risks and minor model spread introduce downside potential for 29–30°C or upside to 33°C+. Historical late-July baselines near 33°C provide context, but the tight distribution around 31°C reflects near-term forecast stability ahead of the next model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions