**Trader consensus around 25–26°C for Tokyo’s July 5 high reflects JMA forecasts of persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that should limit daytime heating.** Seasonal normals near 28.9°C, yet models show a frontal influence and increased moisture keeping maxima several degrees cooler, consistent with the closely matched 25°C (28%) and 26°C (25.5%) shares. Recent July 2–4 observations of similar suppressed highs under overcast skies have reinforced this view. Key variables include exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized rainfall amounts, which could allow brief warming toward 27°C or keep readings nearer 24°C. Updated JMA and ensemble guidance through the weekend will be the next decisive inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 5?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 5?
25°C 39%
26°C 36%
24°C 12%
27°C 8%
最新
$13,578 交易量
最新
$13,578 交易量
2026-07-05
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
12%
25°C
39%
26°C
36%
27°C
8%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 39%
26°C 36%
24°C 12%
27°C 8%
最新
$13,578 交易量
最新
$13,578 交易量
2026-07-05
21°C or below
$1,776 交易量
<1%
22°C
$601 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,793 交易量
2%
24°C
$1,959 交易量
12%
25°C
$3,953 交易量
39%
26°C
$1,192 交易量
36%
27°C
$400 交易量
8%
28°C
$395 交易量
1%
29°C
$554 交易量
1%
30°C
$410 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$546 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 25–26°C for Tokyo’s July 5 high reflects JMA forecasts of persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that should limit daytime heating.** Seasonal normals near 28.9°C, yet models show a frontal influence and increased moisture keeping maxima several degrees cooler, consistent with the closely matched 25°C (28%) and 26°C (25.5%) shares. Recent July 2–4 observations of similar suppressed highs under overcast skies have reinforced this view. Key variables include exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized rainfall amounts, which could allow brief warming toward 27°C or keep readings nearer 24°C. Updated JMA and ensemble guidance through the weekend will be the next decisive inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$13,578結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 25–26°C for Tokyo’s July 5 high reflects JMA forecasts of persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that should limit daytime heating.** Seasonal normals near 28.9°C, yet models show a frontal influence and increased moisture keeping maxima several degrees cooler, consistent with the closely matched 25°C (28%) and 26°C (25.5%) shares. Recent July 2–4 observations of similar suppressed highs under overcast skies have reinforced this view. Key variables include exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized rainfall amounts, which could allow brief warming toward 27°C or keep readings nearer 24°C. Updated JMA and ensemble guidance through the weekend will be the next decisive inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,578結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET**Trader consensus around 25–26°C for Tokyo’s July 5 high reflects JMA forecasts of persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that should limit daytime heating.** Seasonal normals near 28.9°C, yet models show a frontal influence and increased moisture keeping maxima several degrees cooler, consistent with the closely matched 25°C (28%) and 26°C (25.5%) shares. Recent July 2–4 observations of similar suppressed highs under overcast skies have reinforced this view. Key variables include exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized rainfall amounts, which could allow brief warming toward 27°C or keep readings nearer 24°C. Updated JMA and ensemble guidance through the weekend will be the next decisive inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions