Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Toronto on August 3 under partly sunny to mixed conditions, with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, drawn from the latest numerical weather prediction runs, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward 26°C (41%) followed by 25°C (27%) and 27°C (22%). Historical August climatology for the region shows typical highs near 26°C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside potential from daytime heating or model shifts, as no significant warm-air advection or clearing trends have emerged in the most recent updates. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Toronto’s primary observing site, with any late forecast revision from Environment Canada or NOAA ensembles likely to move implied probabilities ahead of the daily close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月3日多倫多氣溫最高？
26°C 36%
25°C 27%
27°C 22%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
27%
26°C
36%
27°C
22%
28°C
8%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 36%
25°C 27%
27°C 22%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
21°C或以下
$207 交易量
1%
22°C
$141 交易量
1%
23°C
$105 交易量
2%
24°C
$93 交易量
6%
25°C
$511 交易量
27%
26°C
$1,434 交易量
36%
27°C
$129 交易量
22%
28°C
$100 交易量
8%
29°C
$105 交易量
4%
30°C
$117 交易量
2%
31°C或更高
$154 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Toronto on August 3 under partly sunny to mixed conditions, with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, drawn from the latest numerical weather prediction runs, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward 26°C (41%) followed by 25°C (27%) and 27°C (22%). Historical August climatology for the region shows typical highs near 26°C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside potential from daytime heating or model shifts, as no significant warm-air advection or clearing trends have emerged in the most recent updates. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Toronto’s primary observing site, with any late forecast revision from Environment Canada or NOAA ensembles likely to move implied probabilities ahead of the daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$3,094結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Toronto on August 3 under partly sunny to mixed conditions, with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, drawn from the latest numerical weather prediction runs, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward 26°C (41%) followed by 25°C (27%) and 27°C (22%). Historical August climatology for the region shows typical highs near 26°C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside potential from daytime heating or model shifts, as no significant warm-air advection or clearing trends have emerged in the most recent updates. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Toronto’s primary observing site, with any late forecast revision from Environment Canada or NOAA ensembles likely to move implied probabilities ahead of the daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,094結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETRecent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Toronto on August 3 under partly sunny to mixed conditions, with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, drawn from the latest numerical weather prediction runs, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward 26°C (41%) followed by 25°C (27%) and 27°C (22%). Historical August climatology for the region shows typical highs near 26°C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside potential from daytime heating or model shifts, as no significant warm-air advection or clearing trends have emerged in the most recent updates. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Toronto’s primary observing site, with any late forecast revision from Environment Canada or NOAA ensembles likely to move implied probabilities ahead of the daily close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions