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icon for 9月份30年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？
經濟艙·聯邦利率

9月份30年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？

icon for 9月份30年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？
經濟艙·聯邦利率

9月份30年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？

最新
2026-09-30
Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

Polymarket

5.60%

$0 交易量

38%

5.55%

$0 交易量

50%

5.50%

$0 交易量

50%

5.45%

$0 交易量

51%

5.42%

$0 交易量

51%

5.39%

$0 交易量

51%

5.36%

$0 交易量

51%

5.33%

$0 交易量

50%

5.30%

$0 交易量

63%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).**Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, combined with geopolitical tensions and heavy Treasury supply, is anchoring 30-year yields near 5.25% in early September 2026.** Headline PCE inflation held at 3.7% year-over-year through July, while core readings remain sticky near 3.3–3.4%. Oil-price spikes from U.S.-Iran conflict have added near-term pressure. Federal debt exceeding $40 trillion and elevated term premia reflect investor demands for higher compensation amid record issuance and competition from AI-related corporate borrowing. Markets currently price a meaningful chance of a September FOMC rate hike, with the effective federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75%. Upcoming CPI and PPI releases, plus the September 15–16 policy meeting, will shape near-term yield volatility and any further upside in the long end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).**Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, combined with geopolitical tensions and heavy Treasury supply, is anchoring 30-year yields near 5.25% in early September 2026.** Headline PCE inflation held at 3.7% year-over-year through July, while core readings remain sticky near 3.3–3.4%. Oil-price spikes from U.S.-Iran conflict have added near-term pressure. Federal debt exceeding $40 trillion and elevated term premia reflect investor demands for higher compensation amid record issuance and competition from AI-related corporate borrowing. Markets currently price a meaningful chance of a September FOMC rate hike, with the effective federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75%. Upcoming CPI and PPI releases, plus the September 15–16 policy meeting, will shape near-term yield volatility and any further upside in the long end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"9月份30年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "5.30%" at 63%, followed by "5.45%" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"9月份30年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "9月份30年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "9月份30年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？" is "5.30%" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5.45%" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "9月份30年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.