Recent May CPI data showing 4.2% headline and 2.9% core inflation, combined with the June FOMC's hawkish shift under new Chair Kevin Warsh—including an upwardly revised dot plot median near 3.8% for year-end 2026 and nine participants seeing at least one rate hike—have reinforced expectations for steady policy at the July 28-29 meeting. This alignment around the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate range, amid elevated but contained growth and labor market readings, supports the 66.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents as the consensus view. The 25.5% odds for one dissent reflect lingering hawkish or dovish outliers seen in prior meetings like April's 8-4 split, while lower probabilities for multiple dissents capture the reduced dispersion post-June projections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於在7月份的聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？
在7月份的聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？
0 69%
3 21%
1 21%
2 3.5%
最新
最新
2026-07-29
0
69%
1
21%
2
3%
3
14%
4+
2%
0 69%
3 21%
1 21%
2 3.5%
最新
最新
2026-07-29
0
$500 交易量
69%
1
$273 交易量
21%
2
$241 交易量
3%
3
$255 交易量
14%
4+
$978 交易量
2%
The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent May CPI data showing 4.2% headline and 2.9% core inflation, combined with the June FOMC's hawkish shift under new Chair Kevin Warsh—including an upwardly revised dot plot median near 3.8% for year-end 2026 and nine participants seeing at least one rate hike—have reinforced expectations for steady policy at the July 28-29 meeting. This alignment around the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate range, amid elevated but contained growth and labor market readings, supports the 66.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents as the consensus view. The 25.5% odds for one dissent reflect lingering hawkish or dovish outliers seen in prior meetings like April's 8-4 split, while lower probabilities for multiple dissents capture the reduced dispersion post-June projections.
The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$2,248結束日期
2026-07-29市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent May CPI data showing 4.2% headline and 2.9% core inflation, combined with the June FOMC's hawkish shift under new Chair Kevin Warsh—including an upwardly revised dot plot median near 3.8% for year-end 2026 and nine participants seeing at least one rate hike—have reinforced expectations for steady policy at the July 28-29 meeting. This alignment around the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate range, amid elevated but contained growth and labor market readings, supports the 66.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents as the consensus view. The 25.5% odds for one dissent reflect lingering hawkish or dovish outliers seen in prior meetings like April's 8-4 split, while lower probabilities for multiple dissents capture the reduced dispersion post-June projections.
The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,248結束日期
2026-07-29市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May CPI data showing 4.2% headline and 2.9% core inflation, combined with the June FOMC's hawkish shift under new Chair Kevin Warsh—including an upwardly revised dot plot median near 3.8% for year-end 2026 and nine participants seeing at least one rate hike—have reinforced expectations for steady policy at the July 28-29 meeting. This alignment around the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate range, amid elevated but contained growth and labor market readings, supports the 66.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents as the consensus view. The 25.5% odds for one dissent reflect lingering hawkish or dovish outliers seen in prior meetings like April's 8-4 split, while lower probabilities for multiple dissents capture the reduced dispersion post-June projections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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