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選舉·主要

愛荷華州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for 愛荷華州州長民主黨初選獲勝者
選舉·主要

愛荷華州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Rob Sand 97.2%

保羅·達爾 1.2%

朱莉·斯托奇 1.1%

Polymarket

$375,603 交易量

Rob Sand 97.2%

保羅·達爾 1.2%

朱莉·斯托奇 1.1%

Polymarket

$375,603 交易量

Rob Sand

$370,734 交易量

97%

保羅·達爾

$644 交易量

1%

朱莉·斯托奇

$4,225 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Auditor Rob Sand commands 97.3% trader consensus as the Iowa Governor Democratic primary winner on June 2, reflecting his unchallenged dominance as the party's consensus nominee for the open seat race. As a two-term incumbent with strong statewide name recognition, superior fundraising, and full Democratic consolidation—bolstered by favorable general election polling against the crowded Republican field—Sand faces negligible opposition from perennial candidate Paul Dahl and Julie Stauch, who withdrew in March over petition shortfalls yet lingers in low-odds trading. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with early voting now underway. Barring a late scandal, health event, or unforeseen write-in surge, his path to nomination remains secure.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$375,603
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Auditor Rob Sand commands 97.3% trader consensus as the Iowa Governor Democratic primary winner on June 2, reflecting his unchallenged dominance as the party's consensus nominee for the open seat race. As a two-term incumbent with strong statewide name recognition, superior fundraising, and full Democratic consolidation—bolstered by favorable general election polling against the crowded Republican field—Sand faces negligible opposition from perennial candidate Paul Dahl and Julie Stauch, who withdrew in March over petition shortfalls yet lingers in low-odds trading. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with early voting now underway. Barring a late scandal, health event, or unforeseen write-in surge, his path to nomination remains secure.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$375,603
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"愛荷華州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rob Sand" at 97%, followed by "保羅·達爾" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "愛荷華州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $375.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "愛荷華州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "愛荷華州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Rob Sand" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "保羅·達爾" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "愛荷華州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.