Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concludes on May 15, 2026, after Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor. Powell has stated he will step aside from the chair role but remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period, citing institutional considerations amid ongoing legal and political scrutiny. Warsh’s nomination advanced through the Senate Banking Committee and full Senate vote, aligning with the transition timeline. Traders are assessing the exact departure date against these confirmed milestones, the incoming chair’s policy approach, and any potential delays in swearing-in or board adjustments that could extend Powell’s influence beyond mid-May. The outcome hinges on the final administrative handoff and whether Powell’s continued service as governor alters the effective transition point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$211,646 交易量
June 30
99%
May 31
88%
$211,646 交易量
June 30
99%
May 31
88%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 27, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concludes on May 15, 2026, after Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor. Powell has stated he will step aside from the chair role but remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period, citing institutional considerations amid ongoing legal and political scrutiny. Warsh’s nomination advanced through the Senate Banking Committee and full Senate vote, aligning with the transition timeline. Traders are assessing the exact departure date against these confirmed milestones, the incoming chair’s policy approach, and any potential delays in swearing-in or board adjustments that could extend Powell’s influence beyond mid-May. The outcome hinges on the final administrative handoff and whether Powell’s continued service as governor alters the effective transition point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions