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icon for Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?

Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?

icon for Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?

Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?

<5 87.8%

10-14 6.0%

5-9 5%

15-19 2.0%

Polymarket
最新

<5 87.8%

10-14 6.0%

5-9 5%

15-19 2.0%

Polymarket
最新

<5

$2,849 交易量

88%

5-9

$677 交易量

5%

10-14

$361 交易量

6%

15-19

$225 交易量

2%

20-24

$251 交易量

1%

25-29

$214 交易量

2%

30-34

$201 交易量

2%

35-39

$213 交易量

1%

40-44

$237 交易量

1%

45-49

$171 交易量

<1%

50-54

$246 交易量

1%

55-59

$263 交易量

1%

60+

$154 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, maintains extremely limited public output amid ongoing security concerns following the February 2026 strikes that elevated him to power.** He communicates almost exclusively through infrequent written statements read by state media rather than direct audio, video, or social media posts, with no public appearances or recordings released since March. Recent developments include a single written message issued around August 28–29 for Government Week urging national unity and discouraging divisive rhetoric, consistent with his pattern of sparse, text-based releases. Traders price the <5 outcome highest because his low visibility, delegation of daily affairs, and assassination risks have produced consistently minimal attributed content over recent months, making higher weekly volumes improbable absent a major shift in approach or circumstances.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$6,062
結束日期
2026-09-04
市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, maintains extremely limited public output amid ongoing security concerns following the February 2026 strikes that elevated him to power.** He communicates almost exclusively through infrequent written statements read by state media rather than direct audio, video, or social media posts, with no public appearances or recordings released since March. Recent developments include a single written message issued around August 28–29 for Government Week urging national unity and discouraging divisive rhetoric, consistent with his pattern of sparse, text-based releases. Traders price the <5 outcome highest because his low visibility, delegation of daily affairs, and assassination risks have produced consistently minimal attributed content over recent months, making higher weekly volumes improbable absent a major shift in approach or circumstances.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$6,062
結束日期
2026-09-04
市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 88%, followed by "10-14" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?" is "<5" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "10-14" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.