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icon for 最大的公司在8月底?

最大的公司在8月底?

icon for 最大的公司在8月底?

最大的公司在8月底?

NVIDIA 97.4%

Apple 1.7%

Alphabet <1%

Amazon <1%

Polymarket

$2,089,541 交易量

NVIDIA 97.4%

Apple 1.7%

Alphabet <1%

Amazon <1%

Polymarket

$2,089,541 交易量

icon for NVIDIA

NVIDIA

$498,015 交易量

97%

icon for Apple

Apple

$300,982 交易量

2%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$315,745 交易量

1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$253,029 交易量

<1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$231,528 交易量

<1%

icon for Tesla

Tesla

$204,289 交易量

<1%

icon for Saudi Aramco

Saudi Aramco

$141,651 交易量

<1%

icon for Broadcom

Broadcom

$144,301 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding 97% market-implied odds for largest company by market cap at end of August reflect its sustained lead of roughly $800 billion over Apple and other rivals as of mid-August 2026. The company's dominance stems from its 85-92% share of the AI accelerator market, fueled by strong data-center GPU demand and Blackwell platform adoption that continues to drive record revenue. Traders see minimal near-term disruption risk given the two-week window to resolution and NVIDIA's established position ahead of competitors investing in AI infrastructure. While a sudden broad tech selloff or exceptional positive catalyst for Apple could narrow the gap, such shifts have not materialized in recent months despite brief July volatility.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,089,541
結束日期
2026-08-31
市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding 97% market-implied odds for largest company by market cap at end of August reflect its sustained lead of roughly $800 billion over Apple and other rivals as of mid-August 2026. The company's dominance stems from its 85-92% share of the AI accelerator market, fueled by strong data-center GPU demand and Blackwell platform adoption that continues to drive record revenue. Traders see minimal near-term disruption risk given the two-week window to resolution and NVIDIA's established position ahead of competitors investing in AI infrastructure. While a sudden broad tech selloff or exceptional positive catalyst for Apple could narrow the gap, such shifts have not materialized in recent months despite brief July volatility.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,089,541
結束日期
2026-08-31
市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"最大的公司在8月底?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "NVIDIA" at 97%, followed by "Apple" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "最大的公司在8月底?" has generated $2.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "最大的公司在8月底?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "最大的公司在8月底?" is "NVIDIA" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apple" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "最大的公司在8月底?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.