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icon for 勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ?

勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ?

icon for 勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ?

勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ?

$321,542 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$321,542 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$20,729 交易量

2%

2026年12月31日

$7,373 交易量

30%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sébastien Lecornu has led France's minority government since his September 2025 appointment, relying on Article 49.3 to advance legislation after surviving multiple no-confidence votes during the prolonged 2026 budget battle. The budget's final passage in early February provided temporary stability, yet the prime minister now confronts fresh fiscal pressures from the Middle East conflict, including at least €6 billion in estimated costs that prompted April announcements of targeted spending cuts to meet deficit targets. Ongoing parliamentary negotiations over economic aid measures and warnings of institutional paralysis amid parties' positioning for the 2027 presidential contest remain key variables. These dynamics, including the government's dependence on shifting cross-party support, inform trader views on the timing of any potential leadership change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$321,542
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sébastien Lecornu has led France's minority government since his September 2025 appointment, relying on Article 49.3 to advance legislation after surviving multiple no-confidence votes during the prolonged 2026 budget battle. The budget's final passage in early February provided temporary stability, yet the prime minister now confronts fresh fiscal pressures from the Middle East conflict, including at least €6 billion in estimated costs that prompted April announcements of targeted spending cuts to meet deficit targets. Ongoing parliamentary negotiations over economic aid measures and warnings of institutional paralysis amid parties' positioning for the 2027 presidential contest remain key variables. These dynamics, including the government's dependence on shifting cross-party support, inform trader views on the timing of any potential leadership change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$321,542
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 30%, followed by "2026年6月30日" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ?" has generated $321.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ?" is "2026年12月31日" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年6月30日" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.