Current forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office place the minimum temperature in Helsinki on August 23 near 11–12 °C under a pattern of moderate northwesterly flow, cloud cover, and light rain that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads and climatological late-August cooling trends support a non-negligible tail risk of readings at or below 9 °C if winds slacken or clearer intervals develop, driving the 43.5 % market-implied probability for that bin. Higher-temperature outcomes cluster near 19 % because recent model runs show limited upside beyond 13–15 °C given the expected air mass. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations released in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points shifting these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
8月23日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
9°C或以下 44%
16°C 25%
12°C 19%
13°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
9°C或以下
44%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
25%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C或更高
<1%
9°C或以下 44%
16°C 25%
12°C 19%
13°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
9°C或以下
$0 交易量
44%
10°C
$0 交易量
19%
11°C
$0 交易量
19%
12°C
$0 交易量
19%
13°C
$0 交易量
19%
14°C
$0 交易量
19%
15°C
$15 交易量
19%
16°C
$27 交易量
25%
17°C
$5 交易量
8%
18°C
$5 交易量
8%
19°C或更高
$47 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office place the minimum temperature in Helsinki on August 23 near 11–12 °C under a pattern of moderate northwesterly flow, cloud cover, and light rain that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads and climatological late-August cooling trends support a non-negligible tail risk of readings at or below 9 °C if winds slacken or clearer intervals develop, driving the 43.5 % market-implied probability for that bin. Higher-temperature outcomes cluster near 19 % because recent model runs show limited upside beyond 13–15 °C given the expected air mass. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations released in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points shifting these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$99結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office place the minimum temperature in Helsinki on August 23 near 11–12 °C under a pattern of moderate northwesterly flow, cloud cover, and light rain that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads and climatological late-August cooling trends support a non-negligible tail risk of readings at or below 9 °C if winds slacken or clearer intervals develop, driving the 43.5 % market-implied probability for that bin. Higher-temperature outcomes cluster near 19 % because recent model runs show limited upside beyond 13–15 °C given the expected air mass. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations released in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points shifting these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$99結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office place the minimum temperature in Helsinki on August 23 near 11–12 °C under a pattern of moderate northwesterly flow, cloud cover, and light rain that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads and climatological late-August cooling trends support a non-negligible tail risk of readings at or below 9 °C if winds slacken or clearer intervals develop, driving the 43.5 % market-implied probability for that bin. Higher-temperature outcomes cluster near 19 % because recent model runs show limited upside beyond 13–15 °C given the expected air mass. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations released in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points shifting these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions