Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in Jeddah near 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and elevated humidity typical of late September, limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 31°C outcome at 59% implied probability and historical climatology showing average September minima around 27–29°C. The notable 50% odds on 24°C or below reflect uncertainty in potential model spread or localized effects like increased cloud cover, though recent observations show clear to partly cloudy skies with no significant cooling triggers. Upcoming hourly data releases from monitoring stations will clarify any deviations before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月17日最低溫度?
24°C或以下 100%
29°C 22%
30°C 21%
28°C 21%
24°C或以下
100%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
9%
28°C
21%
29°C
22%
30°C
26%
31°C
59%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
24°C或以下 100%
29°C 22%
30°C 21%
28°C 21%
24°C或以下
100%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
9%
28°C
21%
29°C
22%
30°C
26%
31°C
59%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in Jeddah near 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and elevated humidity typical of late September, limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 31°C outcome at 59% implied probability and historical climatology showing average September minima around 27–29°C. The notable 50% odds on 24°C or below reflect uncertainty in potential model spread or localized effects like increased cloud cover, though recent observations show clear to partly cloudy skies with no significant cooling triggers. Upcoming hourly data releases from monitoring stations will clarify any deviations before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions