Current forecasts from official meteorological models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light winds overnight into September 13, supporting efficient radiative cooling that aligns with the market's strong consensus around a 16°C minimum. This positioning reflects typical early-autumn conditions near the 1991–2020 average low of 15.9°C, with no major weather systems or moisture intrusions expected to disrupt the nocturnal temperature drop. Traders appear to weigh the high-pressure dominance and dry air mass heavily, as these factors reliably produce minima in the mid-teens Celsius. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger winds could limit cooling and push readings above this threshold, while an unexpectedly stable boundary layer might allow a dip toward 15°C or lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日馬德裏最低氣溫？
9月13日馬德裏最低氣溫？
16°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$510 交易量
$510 交易量
2026-09-13
15°C或以下
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
16°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$510 交易量
$510 交易量
2026-09-13
15°C或以下
$116 交易量
否
16°C
$112 交易量
是
17°C
$142 交易量
否
18°C
$0 交易量
否
19°C
$0 交易量
否
20°C
$0 交易量
否
21°C
$0 交易量
否
22°C
$75 交易量
否
23°C
$25 交易量
否
24°C
$25 交易量
否
25°C或以上
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official meteorological models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light winds overnight into September 13, supporting efficient radiative cooling that aligns with the market's strong consensus around a 16°C minimum. This positioning reflects typical early-autumn conditions near the 1991–2020 average low of 15.9°C, with no major weather systems or moisture intrusions expected to disrupt the nocturnal temperature drop. Traders appear to weigh the high-pressure dominance and dry air mass heavily, as these factors reliably produce minima in the mid-teens Celsius. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger winds could limit cooling and push readings above this threshold, while an unexpectedly stable boundary layer might allow a dip toward 15°C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$510結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official meteorological models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light winds overnight into September 13, supporting efficient radiative cooling that aligns with the market's strong consensus around a 16°C minimum. This positioning reflects typical early-autumn conditions near the 1991–2020 average low of 15.9°C, with no major weather systems or moisture intrusions expected to disrupt the nocturnal temperature drop. Traders appear to weigh the high-pressure dominance and dry air mass heavily, as these factors reliably produce minima in the mid-teens Celsius. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger winds could limit cooling and push readings above this threshold, while an unexpectedly stable boundary layer might allow a dip toward 15°C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$510結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from official meteorological models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light winds overnight into September 13, supporting efficient radiative cooling that aligns with the market's strong consensus around a 16°C minimum. This positioning reflects typical early-autumn conditions near the 1991–2020 average low of 15.9°C, with no major weather systems or moisture intrusions expected to disrupt the nocturnal temperature drop. Traders appear to weigh the high-pressure dominance and dry air mass heavily, as these factors reliably produce minima in the mid-teens Celsius. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger winds could limit cooling and push readings above this threshold, while an unexpectedly stable boundary layer might allow a dip toward 15°C or lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions