舊金山8月21日的最低溫度？

8月 21

8月 22

8月 21

8月 22

58-59°F 90%

56-57°F 49%

52-53°F 31%

54-55°F 23%

$4,304 交易量

2026-08-21

49°F or below

$335 交易量

50-51°F

$326 交易量

52-53°F

$163 交易量

31%

54-55°F

$0 交易量

23%

56-57°F

$2 交易量

49%

58-59°F

$85 交易量

85%

60-61°F

$691 交易量

<1%

62-63°F

$264 交易量

<1%

64-65°F

$389 交易量

<1%

66-67°F

$802 交易量

<1%

68°F or higher

$1,245 交易量

<1%

58-59°F 90%

56-57°F 49%

52-53°F 31%

54-55°F 23%

$4,304 交易量

2026-08-21

49°F or below

$335 交易量

50-51°F

$326 交易量

52-53°F

$163 交易量

31%

54-55°F

$0 交易量

23%

56-57°F

$2 交易量

49%

58-59°F

$85 交易量

85%

60-61°F

$691 交易量

<1%

62-63°F

$264 交易量

<1%

64-65°F

$389 交易量

<1%

66-67°F

$802 交易量

<1%

68°F or higher

$1,245 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently Asked Questions

"舊金山8月21日的最低溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "58-59°F" at 85%, followed by "56-57°F" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"舊金山8月21日的最低溫度？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "舊金山8月21日的最低溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "舊金山8月21日的最低溫度？" is "58-59°F" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "56-57°F" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "舊金山8月21日的最低溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "舊金山8月21日的最低溫度？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “舊金山8月21日的最低溫度？” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "舊金山8月21日的最低溫度？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 85¢ for "58-59°F" in the "舊金山8月21日的最低溫度？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 85% chance that "58-59°F" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 85¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 15¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "舊金山8月21日的最低溫度？" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "舊金山8月21日的最低溫度？" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "舊金山8月21日的最低溫度？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

舊金山8月21日的最低溫度？

舊金山8月21日的最低溫度？

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Frequently Asked Questions

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What does a price of 85¢ for "58-59°F" mean?

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