Current forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight low in Incheon will likely settle between 18–20°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, supporting the market's concentration of implied probability around 19–21°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and the absence of significant frontal systems have kept temperatures above seasonal averages, with model consensus showing limited overnight cooling due to higher dew points and minimal cloud cover. Recent updates from agencies reflect consistent guidance through the 24-hour window, though minor revisions to boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Historical September patterns in the region place typical lows near 17–18°C, making the current milder setup the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
9月23日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
20°C 51%
19°C 25%
21°C 18%
18°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
25%
20°C
51%
21°C
18%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
20°C 51%
19°C 25%
21°C 18%
18°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
16°C
$6 交易量
2%
17°C
$249 交易量
2%
18°C
$69 交易量
6%
19°C
$1,135 交易量
25%
20°C
$1,583 交易量
51%
21°C
$1,249 交易量
18%
22°C
$105 交易量
3%
23°C
$15 交易量
<1%
24°C
$15 交易量
<1%
25°C或以上
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight low in Incheon will likely settle between 18–20°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, supporting the market's concentration of implied probability around 19–21°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and the absence of significant frontal systems have kept temperatures above seasonal averages, with model consensus showing limited overnight cooling due to higher dew points and minimal cloud cover. Recent updates from agencies reflect consistent guidance through the 24-hour window, though minor revisions to boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Historical September patterns in the region place typical lows near 17–18°C, making the current milder setup the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,442結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight low in Incheon will likely settle between 18–20°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, supporting the market's concentration of implied probability around 19–21°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and the absence of significant frontal systems have kept temperatures above seasonal averages, with model consensus showing limited overnight cooling due to higher dew points and minimal cloud cover. Recent updates from agencies reflect consistent guidance through the 24-hour window, though minor revisions to boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Historical September patterns in the region place typical lows near 17–18°C, making the current milder setup the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,442結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight low in Incheon will likely settle between 18–20°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, supporting the market's concentration of implied probability around 19–21°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and the absence of significant frontal systems have kept temperatures above seasonal averages, with model consensus showing limited overnight cooling due to higher dew points and minimal cloud cover. Recent updates from agencies reflect consistent guidance through the 24-hour window, though minor revisions to boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Historical September patterns in the region place typical lows near 17–18°C, making the current milder setup the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions