Official forecasts from global models such as GFS point to an overnight minimum near 24°C in Tel Aviv under mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This supports the leading 24°C market-implied odds while keeping 20–23°C outcomes closely competitive due to small uncertainties in exact pre-dawn timing, urban heat island effects, and minor model disagreements on boundary-layer mixing. Typical September climatology shows lows around 20–22°C, but current stable high-pressure conditions favor the warmer end of the range, with resolution hinging on the official station reading at the coldest hour.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日特拉維夫的最低溫度?
24°C 99.5%
21°C 2%
20°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$852 交易量
$852 交易量
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
24°C 99.5%
21°C 2%
20°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$852 交易量
$852 交易量
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from global models such as GFS point to an overnight minimum near 24°C in Tel Aviv under mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This supports the leading 24°C market-implied odds while keeping 20–23°C outcomes closely competitive due to small uncertainties in exact pre-dawn timing, urban heat island effects, and minor model disagreements on boundary-layer mixing. Typical September climatology shows lows around 20–22°C, but current stable high-pressure conditions favor the warmer end of the range, with resolution hinging on the official station reading at the coldest hour.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions