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政治·主要選舉

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
政治·主要選舉

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 64%

Robert Kenyon 31%

James Thomas Bryer 1.1%

Maria Deery <1%

Polymarket

$27,442 交易量

Andy Burnham 64%

Robert Kenyon 31%

James Thomas Bryer 1.1%

Maria Deery <1%

Polymarket

$27,442 交易量

Andy Burnham

$13,749 交易量

64%

Robert Kenyon

$9,934 交易量

31%

James Thomas Bryer

$297 交易量

1%

Maria Deery

$1,165 交易量

1%

John Skipworth

$1,034 交易量

1%

Simon Finkelstein

$1,289 交易量

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham holds the leading position in the Makerfield by-election market because of his established personal support across Greater Manchester and Labour’s National Executive Committee clearance for his candidacy following Josh Simons’s resignation on May 14. The by-election, expected in mid-June, is framed as a direct path for Burnham to re-enter Parliament amid the party’s leadership pressures. Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon benefits from strong recent local election results and the party’s decision to mount an intensive campaign in the seat, narrowing the gap in trader assessments. Minor candidates remain marginal due to limited local infrastructure and the two-way focus between Labour and Reform. Scheduled events such as candidate selection finalisation and the official polling date continue to anchor current pricing.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
交易量
$27,442
市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham holds the leading position in the Makerfield by-election market because of his established personal support across Greater Manchester and Labour’s National Executive Committee clearance for his candidacy following Josh Simons’s resignation on May 14. The by-election, expected in mid-June, is framed as a direct path for Burnham to re-enter Parliament amid the party’s leadership pressures. Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon benefits from strong recent local election results and the party’s decision to mount an intensive campaign in the seat, narrowing the gap in trader assessments. Minor candidates remain marginal due to limited local infrastructure and the two-way focus between Labour and Reform. Scheduled events such as candidate selection finalisation and the official polling date continue to anchor current pricing.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
交易量
$27,442
市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Makerfield by-election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andy Burnham" at 64%, followed by "Robert Kenyon" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Makerfield by-election Winner" has generated $27.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Makerfield by-election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Makerfield by-election Winner" is "Andy Burnham" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Robert Kenyon" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Makerfield by-election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.