The strong Democratic partisan lean of Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic win in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Betty McCollum, serving since 2001 and routinely securing more than 65 percent of the general-election vote, faces only modest primary opposition from Aswar Rahman ahead of the August 11 contest. Republican primary candidates Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong have raised limited funds and lack the resources or profile to mount a credible challenge in a district centered on St. Paul. The combination of long-term incumbency, consistent past margins, and structural voter composition leaves little room for an upset absent a major unforeseen event such as a personal scandal or abrupt national realignment before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
93%
共和黨
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
$2,191 交易量
93%
共和黨
$3,432 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic partisan lean of Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic win in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Betty McCollum, serving since 2001 and routinely securing more than 65 percent of the general-election vote, faces only modest primary opposition from Aswar Rahman ahead of the August 11 contest. Republican primary candidates Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong have raised limited funds and lack the resources or profile to mount a credible challenge in a district centered on St. Paul. The combination of long-term incumbency, consistent past margins, and structural voter composition leaves little room for an upset absent a major unforeseen event such as a personal scandal or abrupt national realignment before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$5,623結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic partisan lean of Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic win in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Betty McCollum, serving since 2001 and routinely securing more than 65 percent of the general-election vote, faces only modest primary opposition from Aswar Rahman ahead of the August 11 contest. Republican primary candidates Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong have raised limited funds and lack the resources or profile to mount a credible challenge in a district centered on St. Paul. The combination of long-term incumbency, consistent past margins, and structural voter composition leaves little room for an upset absent a major unforeseen event such as a personal scandal or abrupt national realignment before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,623結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic partisan lean of Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic win in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Betty McCollum, serving since 2001 and routinely securing more than 65 percent of the general-election vote, faces only modest primary opposition from Aswar Rahman ahead of the August 11 contest. Republican primary candidates Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong have raised limited funds and lack the resources or profile to mount a credible challenge in a district centered on St. Paul. The combination of long-term incumbency, consistent past margins, and structural voter composition leaves little room for an upset absent a major unforeseen event such as a personal scandal or abrupt national realignment before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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