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選舉·全球選舉

下屆法國總統選舉

icon for 下屆法國總統選舉
選舉·全球選舉

下屆法國總統選舉

喬丹·巴爾德拉 23%

埃杜阿爾·菲利普 20%

讓-呂克·梅朗雄 11%

瑪琳·勒龐 6%

Polymarket

$73,110,807 交易量

喬丹·巴爾德拉 23%

埃杜阿爾·菲利普 20%

讓-呂克·梅朗雄 11%

瑪琳·勒龐 6%

Polymarket

$73,110,807 交易量

icon for 喬丹·巴爾德拉

喬丹·巴爾德拉

$898,452 交易量

23%

icon for 埃杜阿爾·菲利普

埃杜阿爾·菲利普

$708,125 交易量

20%

icon for 讓-呂克·梅朗雄

讓-呂克·梅朗雄

$558,564 交易量

11%

icon for 瑪琳·勒龐

瑪琳·勒龐

$527,984 交易量

6%

icon for 多米尼克·德維爾潘

多米尼克·德維爾潘

$1,208,421 交易量

5%

icon for 大衛·利斯納爾

大衛·利斯納爾

$1,158,930 交易量

5%

icon for 弗朗索瓦·奧朗德

弗朗索瓦·奧朗德

$1,023,029 交易量

5%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,243,700 交易量

3%

icon for 布魯諾·赫泰約

布魯諾·赫泰約

$1,368,522 交易量

3%

icon for 拉斐爾·格呂克斯曼

拉斐爾·格呂克斯曼

$843,039 交易量

2%

icon for 莎拉·克納福

莎拉·克納福

$1,306,716 交易量

2%

icon for 埃里克·澤穆爾

埃里克·澤穆爾

$1,482,650 交易量

1%

icon for 塞巴斯蒂安·勒科努

塞巴斯蒂安·勒科努

$901,522 交易量

1%

icon for 讓·卡斯泰

讓·卡斯泰

$741,808 交易量

1%

icon for 胡安·布蘭科

胡安·布蘭科

$1,376,549 交易量

1%

icon for 貝爾納·卡澤納夫

貝爾納·卡澤納夫

$1,272,181 交易量

1%

icon for 洛朗·瓦奎茲

洛朗·瓦奎茲

$2,099,927 交易量

1%

icon for 瓦萊麗·佩克雷斯

瓦萊麗·佩克雷斯

$2,643,064 交易量

1%

icon for 熱拉爾·達爾馬寧

熱拉爾·達爾馬寧

$756,994 交易量

1%

icon for 克蕾芙絲·蓋特

克蕾芙絲·蓋特

$2,735,170 交易量

1%

icon for 法比恩·魯塞爾

法比恩·魯塞爾

$2,201,431 交易量

1%

icon for 弗朗索瓦·阿斯利諾

弗朗索瓦·阿斯利諾

$3,593,499 交易量

1%

icon for 尼古拉·杜邦-艾尼昂

尼古拉·杜邦-艾尼昂

$2,853,838 交易量

1%

icon for 弗朗索瓦·魯芬

弗朗索瓦·魯芬

$1,568,183 交易量

1%

icon for 瑪琳·通德列

瑪琳·通德列

$2,136,291 交易量

1%

icon for 塞格琳·羅亞爾

塞格琳·羅亞爾

$3,171,826 交易量

1%

icon for 克萊芙蒂娜·奧坦

克萊芙蒂娜·奧坦

$3,074,525 交易量

1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,838,517 交易量

1%

icon for 馬蒂爾德·帕諾

馬蒂爾德·帕諾

$3,591,006 交易量

1%

icon for 伊莉莎白·博爾內

伊莉莎白·博爾內

$3,376,374 交易量

1%

icon for 卡羅爾·德爾加

卡羅爾·德爾加

$2,713,960 交易量

1%

icon for 曼努埃爾·邦帕爾

曼努埃爾·邦帕爾

$3,083,136 交易量

1%

icon for 澤維耶·貝特朗

澤維耶·貝特朗

$3,302,681 交易量

1%

icon for 奧利維耶·福爾

奧利維耶·福爾

$2,538,532 交易量

1%

icon for 米歇爾·巴尼耶

米歇爾·巴尼耶

$3,411,303 交易量

1%

icon for 弗朗索瓦·貝魯

弗朗索瓦·貝魯

$3,804,724 交易量

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The fragmented field of candidates keeps the 2027 French presidential race tightly contested in trader consensus, with Jordan Bardella edging ahead at 22.5 percent amid National Rally's strong recent electoral showings. Édouard Philippe's launch of a center-right Horizons campaign has positioned him as the clearest alternative at 19.5 percent, though his support has narrowed against rivals like Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's 10.5 percent reflects persistent left-wing backing, while Marine Le Pen's lower share stems from her ongoing embezzlement appeal, scheduled for July 2026, which could bar her and elevate Bardella further. This multipolar dynamic, driven by Macron's term limits and post-2024 legislative instability, leaves room for shifts from party primaries, coalition realignments, or late legal rulings before the April vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$73,110,807
結束日期
2027-04-30
市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The fragmented field of candidates keeps the 2027 French presidential race tightly contested in trader consensus, with Jordan Bardella edging ahead at 22.5 percent amid National Rally's strong recent electoral showings. Édouard Philippe's launch of a center-right Horizons campaign has positioned him as the clearest alternative at 19.5 percent, though his support has narrowed against rivals like Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's 10.5 percent reflects persistent left-wing backing, while Marine Le Pen's lower share stems from her ongoing embezzlement appeal, scheduled for July 2026, which could bar her and elevate Bardella further. This multipolar dynamic, driven by Macron's term limits and post-2024 legislative instability, leaves room for shifts from party primaries, coalition realignments, or late legal rulings before the April vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$73,110,807
結束日期
2027-04-30
市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下屆法國總統選舉" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "喬丹·巴爾德拉" at 23%, followed by "埃杜阿爾·菲利普" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下屆法國總統選舉" has generated $73.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下屆法國總統選舉," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下屆法國總統選舉" is "喬丹·巴爾德拉" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "埃杜阿爾·菲利普" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下屆法國總統選舉" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.