Google’s recent updates highlight ongoing delays for its flagship Gemini Pro models amid competitive pressure. As of mid-July 2026, the company released several lighter variants including Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite while confirming Gemini 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing with no firm launch date, after earlier slips from June targets. Training has already begun on Gemini 4, signaling internal focus on next-generation capabilities. Traders are tracking DeepMind’s ability to close performance gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic through demonstrated reasoning improvements and multimodal benchmarks, with any official 3.5 Pro preview or general availability announcement likely to shift implied probabilities sharply in the near term.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,088,920 交易量
2026-08-31
8 月 21 日
2%
8 月 31 日
13%
September 15
51%
September 30
51%
October 31
52%
$1,088,920 交易量
8 月 21 日
$123,849 交易量
2%
8 月 31 日
$283,533 交易量
13%
September 15
$0 交易量
51%
September 30
$0 交易量
51%
October 31
$0 交易量
52%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s recent updates highlight ongoing delays for its flagship Gemini Pro models amid competitive pressure. As of mid-July 2026, the company released several lighter variants including Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite while confirming Gemini 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing with no firm launch date, after earlier slips from June targets. Training has already begun on Gemini 4, signaling internal focus on next-generation capabilities. Traders are tracking DeepMind’s ability to close performance gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic through demonstrated reasoning improvements and multimodal benchmarks, with any official 3.5 Pro preview or general availability announcement likely to shift implied probabilities sharply in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
交易量
$1,088,920結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s recent updates highlight ongoing delays for its flagship Gemini Pro models amid competitive pressure. As of mid-July 2026, the company released several lighter variants including Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite while confirming Gemini 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing with no firm launch date, after earlier slips from June targets. Training has already begun on Gemini 4, signaling internal focus on next-generation capabilities. Traders are tracking DeepMind’s ability to close performance gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic through demonstrated reasoning improvements and multimodal benchmarks, with any official 3.5 Pro preview or general availability announcement likely to shift implied probabilities sharply in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,088,920結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google’s recent updates highlight ongoing delays for its flagship Gemini Pro models amid competitive pressure. As of mid-July 2026, the company released several lighter variants including Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite while confirming Gemini 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing with no firm launch date, after earlier slips from June targets. Training has already begun on Gemini 4, signaling internal focus on next-generation capabilities. Traders are tracking DeepMind’s ability to close performance gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic through demonstrated reasoning improvements and multimodal benchmarks, with any official 3.5 Pro preview or general availability announcement likely to shift implied probabilities sharply in the near term.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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