Following Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections, which produced a hung National Assembly with the Freedom Movement securing just one more seat than Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party, outgoing Prime Minister Robert Golob's coalition negotiations collapsed. This outcome has shifted momentum toward Janša, who has advanced draft guidelines for a centre-right alliance after recent amendments reduced the number of ministries. Traders assign Janez Janša a commanding implied probability due to his parliamentary arithmetic and procedural progress toward nomination and confirmation by simple majority. Potential shifts could arise from unresolved coalition partner demands, partner withdrawal during talks, or a failed floor vote that restarts the formation process or triggers new elections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Janez Janša 93.7%
安澤·洛加爾 1.5%
耶爾內·弗爾托韋茨 <1%
羅伯特·戈洛布 <1%
$3,018,919 交易量
$3,018,919 交易量

Janez Janša
94%

安澤·洛加爾
1%

耶爾內·弗爾托韋茨
1%

羅伯特·戈洛布
<1%

弗拉迪米爾·普雷比利奇
<1%

盧卡·梅塞克
<1%

馬蒂亞日·漢
<1%

Matej Tonin
<1%

佐蘭·斯特瓦諾維奇
<1%
Janez Janša 93.7%
安澤·洛加爾 1.5%
耶爾內·弗爾托韋茨 <1%
羅伯特·戈洛布 <1%
$3,018,919 交易量
$3,018,919 交易量

Janez Janša
94%

安澤·洛加爾
1%

耶爾內·弗爾托韋茨
1%

羅伯特·戈洛布
<1%

弗拉迪米爾·普雷比利奇
<1%

盧卡·梅塞克
<1%

馬蒂亞日·漢
<1%

Matej Tonin
<1%

佐蘭·斯特瓦諾維奇
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections, which produced a hung National Assembly with the Freedom Movement securing just one more seat than Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party, outgoing Prime Minister Robert Golob's coalition negotiations collapsed. This outcome has shifted momentum toward Janša, who has advanced draft guidelines for a centre-right alliance after recent amendments reduced the number of ministries. Traders assign Janez Janša a commanding implied probability due to his parliamentary arithmetic and procedural progress toward nomination and confirmation by simple majority. Potential shifts could arise from unresolved coalition partner demands, partner withdrawal during talks, or a failed floor vote that restarts the formation process or triggers new elections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions