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世界·全球選舉

斯洛維尼亞下任總理

icon for 斯洛維尼亞下任總理
世界·全球選舉

斯洛維尼亞下任總理

Janez Janša 93.7%

耶爾內·弗爾托韋茨 2.7%

安澤·洛加爾 1.5%

羅伯特·戈洛布 <1%

Polymarket

$3,018,919 交易量

Janez Janša 93.7%

耶爾內·弗爾托韋茨 2.7%

安澤·洛加爾 1.5%

羅伯特·戈洛布 <1%

Polymarket

$3,018,919 交易量

icon for Janez Janša

Janez Janša

$777,745 交易量

94%

icon for 耶爾內·弗爾托韋茨

耶爾內·弗爾托韋茨

$223,379 交易量

3%

icon for 安澤·洛加爾

安澤·洛加爾

$991,963 交易量

1%

icon for 羅伯特·戈洛布

羅伯特·戈洛布

$658,431 交易量

<1%

icon for 弗拉迪米爾·普雷比利奇

弗拉迪米爾·普雷比利奇

$181,172 交易量

<1%

icon for 盧卡·梅塞克

盧卡·梅塞克

$10,527 交易量

<1%

icon for 馬蒂亞日·漢

馬蒂亞日·漢

$20,169 交易量

<1%

icon for Matej Tonin

Matej Tonin

$18,292 交易量

<1%

icon for 佐蘭·斯特瓦諾維奇

佐蘭·斯特瓦諾維奇

$137,240 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary election produced a narrow result with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing 29 seats to Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party's 28, leaving no party with a majority in the 90-seat National Assembly. Failed coalition talks prompted President Nataša Pirc Musar to defer nomination authority to lawmakers, creating a deadlock that has elevated Janša as the leading candidate to form government through right-leaning alliances. Traders assign this outcome a commanding implied probability because Janša's party holds the strongest negotiating position amid fragmented smaller parties. Alternative scenarios that could shift probabilities include a last-minute centre-left or cross-bloc agreement or a successful challenge from within the SDS.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,018,919
結束日期
2026-03-22
市場開放時間
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary election produced a narrow result with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing 29 seats to Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party's 28, leaving no party with a majority in the 90-seat National Assembly. Failed coalition talks prompted President Nataša Pirc Musar to defer nomination authority to lawmakers, creating a deadlock that has elevated Janša as the leading candidate to form government through right-leaning alliances. Traders assign this outcome a commanding implied probability because Janša's party holds the strongest negotiating position amid fragmented smaller parties. Alternative scenarios that could shift probabilities include a last-minute centre-left or cross-bloc agreement or a successful challenge from within the SDS.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,018,919
結束日期
2026-03-22
市場開放時間
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"斯洛維尼亞下任總理" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Janez Janša" at 94%, followed by "耶爾內·弗爾托韋茨" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "斯洛維尼亞下任總理" has generated $3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "斯洛維尼亞下任總理," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "斯洛維尼亞下任總理" is "Janez Janša" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "耶爾內·弗爾托韋茨" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "斯洛維尼亞下任總理" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.