Recent polling from multiple Swedish firms shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead of roughly 32–34 percent ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, positioning Magdalena Andersson as the trader consensus favorite to return as prime minister. The current centre-right government led by Ulf Kristersson has seen its coalition partners lose ground, with the Moderate Party and its allies projected to fall short of a majority even with Sweden Democrats support. Kristersson’s April announcement that he would grant the Sweden Democrats key cabinet roles on immigration and integration if re-elected has sharpened voter divisions without shifting the overall polling trend. These dynamics have kept Andersson probabilities elevated while capping gains for Kristersson and smaller-party alternatives.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於馬格達萊娜·安德松 69%
烏爾夫·克里斯特松 29%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.2%
埃巴·布希 <1%
$1,953,933 交易量
$1,953,933 交易量

馬格達萊娜·安德松
69%

烏爾夫·克里斯特松
29%

Jimmie Åkesson
2%

埃巴·布希
1%

安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%

阿曼達·林德
<1%

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%

丹尼爾·赫爾登
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

伊麗莎白·坦德·林克維斯特
<1%
馬格達萊娜·安德松 69%
烏爾夫·克里斯特松 29%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.2%
埃巴·布希 <1%
$1,953,933 交易量
$1,953,933 交易量

馬格達萊娜·安德松
69%

烏爾夫·克里斯特松
29%

Jimmie Åkesson
2%

埃巴·布希
1%

安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%

阿曼達·林德
<1%

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%

丹尼爾·赫爾登
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

伊麗莎白·坦德·林克維斯特
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from multiple Swedish firms shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead of roughly 32–34 percent ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, positioning Magdalena Andersson as the trader consensus favorite to return as prime minister. The current centre-right government led by Ulf Kristersson has seen its coalition partners lose ground, with the Moderate Party and its allies projected to fall short of a majority even with Sweden Democrats support. Kristersson’s April announcement that he would grant the Sweden Democrats key cabinet roles on immigration and integration if re-elected has sharpened voter divisions without shifting the overall polling trend. These dynamics have kept Andersson probabilities elevated while capping gains for Kristersson and smaller-party alternatives.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions