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世界·全球選舉

瑞典下任首相

icon for 瑞典下任首相
世界·全球選舉

瑞典下任首相

馬格達萊娜·安德松 69%

烏爾夫·克里斯特松 30%

Jimmie Åkesson 2.3%

埃巴·布希 <1%

Polymarket

$1,953,793 交易量

馬格達萊娜·安德松 69%

烏爾夫·克里斯特松 30%

Jimmie Åkesson 2.3%

埃巴·布希 <1%

Polymarket

$1,953,793 交易量

icon for 馬格達萊娜·安德松

馬格達萊娜·安德松

$73,939 交易量

69%

icon for 烏爾夫·克里斯特松

烏爾夫·克里斯特松

$65,813 交易量

30%

icon for Jimmie Åkesson

Jimmie Åkesson

$1,345,020 交易量

2%

icon for 埃巴·布希

埃巴·布希

$288,400 交易量

1%

icon for 安娜-卡琳·哈特

安娜-卡琳·哈特

$22,824 交易量

<1%

icon for 阿曼達·林德

阿曼達·林德

$30,207 交易量

<1%

icon for 西蒙娜·莫哈姆松

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松

$48,530 交易量

<1%

icon for 丹尼爾·赫爾登

丹尼爾·赫爾登

$36,415 交易量

<1%

icon for Nooshi Dadgostar

Nooshi Dadgostar

$22,364 交易量

<1%

icon for 伊麗莎白·坦德·林克維斯特

伊麗莎白·坦德·林克維斯特

$20,281 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead of 32–34 percent ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, which under Sweden’s proportional representation system typically positions the leader of the largest party in the leading bloc to become prime minister. This underpins trader consensus assigning Magdalena Andersson a 68.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson’s 29.5 percent reflects the governing Tidö coalition’s challenges with immigration enforcement, economic conditions, and gang violence, even after his April proposal to formalize Sweden Democrats participation with ministerial roles. Smaller-party leaders remain at marginal levels consistent with historical patterns where bloc leaders dominate prime-minister markets.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,953,793
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead of 32–34 percent ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, which under Sweden’s proportional representation system typically positions the leader of the largest party in the leading bloc to become prime minister. This underpins trader consensus assigning Magdalena Andersson a 68.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson’s 29.5 percent reflects the governing Tidö coalition’s challenges with immigration enforcement, economic conditions, and gang violence, even after his April proposal to formalize Sweden Democrats participation with ministerial roles. Smaller-party leaders remain at marginal levels consistent with historical patterns where bloc leaders dominate prime-minister markets.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,953,793
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"瑞典下任首相" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "馬格達萊娜·安德松" at 69%, followed by "烏爾夫·克里斯特松" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "瑞典下任首相" has generated $2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "瑞典下任首相," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "瑞典下任首相" is "馬格達萊娜·安德松" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "烏爾夫·克里斯特松" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "瑞典下任首相" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.