Dina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting her long incumbency, the district’s D+2 partisan voter index, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including an eight-point victory in 2024. Titus secured her party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Carrie Buck, a state senator endorsed by President Trump, won her primary by a similar margin but faces structural headwinds in a Las Vegas-area seat that redistricting has kept competitive yet Democratic-leaning. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic. Buck’s competitive fundraising and focus on issues such as education and immigration have narrowed the gap in some quarters, yet trader consensus assigns her only a low-single-digit implied probability, consistent with historical margins and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s underlying partisan balance. Late-campaign shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow the contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$25,782 交易量
$25,782 交易量
2026-11-03
迪娜·泰特斯（民主黨）
95%
Carrie Buck（共和黨）
5%
$25,782 交易量
$25,782 交易量
2026-11-03
迪娜·泰特斯（民主黨）
$9,462 交易量
95%
Carrie Buck（共和黨）
$16,320 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting her long incumbency, the district’s D+2 partisan voter index, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including an eight-point victory in 2024. Titus secured her party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Carrie Buck, a state senator endorsed by President Trump, won her primary by a similar margin but faces structural headwinds in a Las Vegas-area seat that redistricting has kept competitive yet Democratic-leaning. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic. Buck’s competitive fundraising and focus on issues such as education and immigration have narrowed the gap in some quarters, yet trader consensus assigns her only a low-single-digit implied probability, consistent with historical margins and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s underlying partisan balance. Late-campaign shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow the contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$25,782結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting her long incumbency, the district’s D+2 partisan voter index, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including an eight-point victory in 2024. Titus secured her party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Carrie Buck, a state senator endorsed by President Trump, won her primary by a similar margin but faces structural headwinds in a Las Vegas-area seat that redistricting has kept competitive yet Democratic-leaning. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic. Buck’s competitive fundraising and focus on issues such as education and immigration have narrowed the gap in some quarters, yet trader consensus assigns her only a low-single-digit implied probability, consistent with historical margins and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s underlying partisan balance. Late-campaign shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow the contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,782結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETDina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting her long incumbency, the district’s D+2 partisan voter index, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including an eight-point victory in 2024. Titus secured her party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Carrie Buck, a state senator endorsed by President Trump, won her primary by a similar margin but faces structural headwinds in a Las Vegas-area seat that redistricting has kept competitive yet Democratic-leaning. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic. Buck’s competitive fundraising and focus on issues such as education and immigration have narrowed the gap in some quarters, yet trader consensus assigns her only a low-single-digit implied probability, consistent with historical margins and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s underlying partisan balance. Late-campaign shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow the contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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