The ruling Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections for up to 14 National Assembly seats with substantial structural advantages, including President Lee Jae-myung’s approval rating near 60 percent and expectations of a broad sweep in concurrent local races. Many vacancies arose after incumbents resigned to seek governorships or mayoral posts, creating openings in districts where the DP maintains strong organizational reach and voter support. Recent candidate registrations and internal party coordination have reinforced this positioning, with traders assigning the highest probability to the party securing 10 or more seats. While isolated internal frictions have surfaced, they have not altered the broader competitive landscape ahead of the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於10+ 80.7%
8-9 5.0%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,584 交易量
$34,584 交易量
0-1
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
12%
10+
79%
10+ 80.7%
8-9 5.0%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,584 交易量
$34,584 交易量
0-1
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
12%
10+
79%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
市場開放時間: Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The ruling Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections for up to 14 National Assembly seats with substantial structural advantages, including President Lee Jae-myung’s approval rating near 60 percent and expectations of a broad sweep in concurrent local races. Many vacancies arose after incumbents resigned to seek governorships or mayoral posts, creating openings in districts where the DP maintains strong organizational reach and voter support. Recent candidate registrations and internal party coordination have reinforced this positioning, with traders assigning the highest probability to the party securing 10 or more seats. While isolated internal frictions have surfaced, they have not altered the broader competitive landscape ahead of the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions