The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections for up to 14 National Assembly seats with a strong structural edge, driven by President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained high approval ratings near 60 percent and the opposition People Power Party’s persistently low support following earlier scandals. Candidate nominations finalized in early May have reinforced DP advantages across most contested districts, including key battlegrounds in Busan and Gyeonggi, while recent polls confirm the party leading in the majority of races even as margins narrow slightly in conservative strongholds. These factors align with the 2024 parliamentary results that gave the DP a commanding 175-seat baseline, translating into superior ground operations and name recognition for the current by-elections. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to the party securing 10 or more seats, reflecting the current balance of polling trends, institutional momentum, and opposition vulnerabilities ahead of polling day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於10+ 80.7%
8-9 12.5%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,584 交易量
$34,584 交易量
0-1
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
13%
10+
79%
10+ 80.7%
8-9 12.5%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,584 交易量
$34,584 交易量
0-1
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
13%
10+
79%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
市場開放時間: Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections for up to 14 National Assembly seats with a strong structural edge, driven by President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained high approval ratings near 60 percent and the opposition People Power Party’s persistently low support following earlier scandals. Candidate nominations finalized in early May have reinforced DP advantages across most contested districts, including key battlegrounds in Busan and Gyeonggi, while recent polls confirm the party leading in the majority of races even as margins narrow slightly in conservative strongholds. These factors align with the 2024 parliamentary results that gave the DP a commanding 175-seat baseline, translating into superior ground operations and name recognition for the current by-elections. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to the party securing 10 or more seats, reflecting the current balance of polling trends, institutional momentum, and opposition vulnerabilities ahead of polling day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions