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icon for OpenAI的阿斯特拉發布於... ?

OpenAI的阿斯特拉發布於... ?

icon for OpenAI的阿斯特拉發布於... ?

OpenAI的阿斯特拉發布於... ?

9 月 3 日 88.8%

9 月 4 日 5.7%

截至9月30日未發布 2.5%

9 月 10 日 2.1%

Polymarket
最新

$72,090 交易量

9 月 3 日 88.8%

9 月 4 日 5.7%

截至9月30日未發布 2.5%

9 月 10 日 2.1%

Polymarket
最新

$72,090 交易量

9 月 3 日

$35,277 交易量

89%

9 月 4 日

$4,828 交易量

6%

9 月 5 日

$2,202 交易量

1%

9 月 6 日

$1,065 交易量

1%

9 月 7 日

$961 交易量

2%

9 月 8 日

$1,015 交易量

1%

9 月 9 日

$808 交易量

1%

9 月 10 日

$1,280 交易量

2%

9 月 11 日

$756 交易量

1%

9 月 12 日

$733 交易量

1%

9 月 13 日

$834 交易量

1%

9 月 14 日

$766 交易量

1%

9 月 15 日

$1,185 交易量

1%

9 月 16 日

$855 交易量

1%

9 月 17 日

$928 交易量

1%

9 月 18 日

$755 交易量

1%

9 月 19 日

$755 交易量

1%

9 月 20 日

$855 交易量

1%

9 月 21 日

$1,038 交易量

1%

9 月 22 日

$755 交易量

1%

9 月 23 日

$902 交易量

1%

9 月 24 日

$1,803 交易量

1%

9 月 25 日

$1,015 交易量

1%

9 月 26 日

$802 交易量

1%

9 月 27 日

$1,660 交易量

2%

9 月 28 日

$1,121 交易量

1%

9 月 29 日

$755 交易量

1%

9 月 30 日

$765 交易量

1%

截至9月30日未發布

$2,384 交易量

3%

On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1 announcement that Astra meets its “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework, following weeks of added safeguards after the July Hugging Face incident, has driven the overwhelming market consensus for an immediate release. The company stated it plans to make the model available “soon” while limiting advanced exploit-generation capabilities to select testers and its Daybreak Blue program, with a system card at launch. Traders interpret the timing of this clearance—paired with Astra’s perfect ExploitBench score and demonstrated zero-day chaining—as signaling rollout within days rather than weeks, especially given the absence of any announced delay or further hurdles. Upcoming catalysts include any follow-on statements from OpenAI leadership or early tester access details that could confirm or shift the tight window.

On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.

A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.

Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.

For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$72,090
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1 announcement that Astra meets its “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework, following weeks of added safeguards after the July Hugging Face incident, has driven the overwhelming market consensus for an immediate release. The company stated it plans to make the model available “soon” while limiting advanced exploit-generation capabilities to select testers and its Daybreak Blue program, with a system card at launch. Traders interpret the timing of this clearance—paired with Astra’s perfect ExploitBench score and demonstrated zero-day chaining—as signaling rollout within days rather than weeks, especially given the absence of any announced delay or further hurdles. Upcoming catalysts include any follow-on statements from OpenAI leadership or early tester access details that could confirm or shift the tight window.

On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.

A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.

Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.

For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$72,090
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"OpenAI的阿斯特拉發布於... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "9 月 3 日" at 89%, followed by "9 月 4 日" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OpenAI的阿斯特拉發布於... ?" has generated $72.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OpenAI的阿斯特拉發布於... ?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OpenAI的阿斯特拉發布於... ?" is "9 月 3 日" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9 月 4 日" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OpenAI的阿斯特拉發布於... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.