OpenAI’s September 1 announcement that Astra meets its “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework, following weeks of added safeguards after the July Hugging Face incident, has driven the overwhelming market consensus for an immediate release. The company stated it plans to make the model available “soon” while limiting advanced exploit-generation capabilities to select testers and its Daybreak Blue program, with a system card at launch. Traders interpret the timing of this clearance—paired with Astra’s perfect ExploitBench score and demonstrated zero-day chaining—as signaling rollout within days rather than weeks, especially given the absence of any announced delay or further hurdles. Upcoming catalysts include any follow-on statements from OpenAI leadership or early tester access details that could confirm or shift the tight window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9 月 3 日 88.8%
9 月 4 日 5.7%
截至9月30日未發布 2.5%
9 月 10 日 2.1%
$72,090 交易量
$72,090 交易量
9 月 3 日
89%
9 月 4 日
6%
9 月 5 日
1%
9 月 6 日
1%
9 月 7 日
2%
9 月 8 日
1%
9 月 9 日
1%
9 月 10 日
2%
9 月 11 日
1%
9 月 12 日
1%
9 月 13 日
1%
9 月 14 日
1%
9 月 15 日
1%
9 月 16 日
1%
9 月 17 日
1%
9 月 18 日
1%
9 月 19 日
1%
9 月 20 日
1%
9 月 21 日
1%
9 月 22 日
1%
9 月 23 日
1%
9 月 24 日
1%
9 月 25 日
1%
9 月 26 日
1%
9 月 27 日
2%
9 月 28 日
1%
9 月 29 日
1%
9 月 30 日
1%
截至9月30日未發布
3%
9 月 3 日 88.8%
9 月 4 日 5.7%
截至9月30日未發布 2.5%
9 月 10 日 2.1%
$72,090 交易量
$72,090 交易量
9 月 3 日
89%
9 月 4 日
6%
9 月 5 日
1%
9 月 6 日
1%
9 月 7 日
2%
9 月 8 日
1%
9 月 9 日
1%
9 月 10 日
2%
9 月 11 日
1%
9 月 12 日
1%
9 月 13 日
1%
9 月 14 日
1%
9 月 15 日
1%
9 月 16 日
1%
9 月 17 日
1%
9 月 18 日
1%
9 月 19 日
1%
9 月 20 日
1%
9 月 21 日
1%
9 月 22 日
1%
9 月 23 日
1%
9 月 24 日
1%
9 月 25 日
1%
9 月 26 日
1%
9 月 27 日
2%
9 月 28 日
1%
9 月 29 日
1%
9 月 30 日
1%
截至9月30日未發布
3%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
OpenAI’s September 1 announcement that Astra meets its “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework, following weeks of added safeguards after the July Hugging Face incident, has driven the overwhelming market consensus for an immediate release. The company stated it plans to make the model available “soon” while limiting advanced exploit-generation capabilities to select testers and its Daybreak Blue program, with a system card at launch. Traders interpret the timing of this clearance—paired with Astra’s perfect ExploitBench score and demonstrated zero-day chaining—as signaling rollout within days rather than weeks, especially given the absence of any announced delay or further hurdles. Upcoming catalysts include any follow-on statements from OpenAI leadership or early tester access details that could confirm or shift the tight window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions