Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick’s established moderate profile and bipartisan record in the competitive Bucks County-based PA-01 have kept trader consensus nearly even between the parties at 51.5% Democratic and 49% Republican. Democrat Bob Harvie, who won his May 2026 primary decisively after securing Gov. Josh Shapiro’s endorsement, faces an incumbent who has consistently outperformed the district’s slight Democratic lean in presidential voting. Recent polls show Fitzpatrick holding a narrow edge, reflecting his crossover appeal and fundraising advantage amid limited major national shifts so far. Key upcoming developments that could widen separation include further polling trends, campaign spending patterns, and any late-cycle national political or economic signals affecting suburban turnout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
52%
Republican Party
50%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$2,404 交易量
52%
Republican Party
$3,657 交易量
50%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick’s established moderate profile and bipartisan record in the competitive Bucks County-based PA-01 have kept trader consensus nearly even between the parties at 51.5% Democratic and 49% Republican. Democrat Bob Harvie, who won his May 2026 primary decisively after securing Gov. Josh Shapiro’s endorsement, faces an incumbent who has consistently outperformed the district’s slight Democratic lean in presidential voting. Recent polls show Fitzpatrick holding a narrow edge, reflecting his crossover appeal and fundraising advantage amid limited major national shifts so far. Key upcoming developments that could widen separation include further polling trends, campaign spending patterns, and any late-cycle national political or economic signals affecting suburban turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$6,061結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick’s established moderate profile and bipartisan record in the competitive Bucks County-based PA-01 have kept trader consensus nearly even between the parties at 51.5% Democratic and 49% Republican. Democrat Bob Harvie, who won his May 2026 primary decisively after securing Gov. Josh Shapiro’s endorsement, faces an incumbent who has consistently outperformed the district’s slight Democratic lean in presidential voting. Recent polls show Fitzpatrick holding a narrow edge, reflecting his crossover appeal and fundraising advantage amid limited major national shifts so far. Key upcoming developments that could widen separation include further polling trends, campaign spending patterns, and any late-cycle national political or economic signals affecting suburban turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,061結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick’s established moderate profile and bipartisan record in the competitive Bucks County-based PA-01 have kept trader consensus nearly even between the parties at 51.5% Democratic and 49% Republican. Democrat Bob Harvie, who won his May 2026 primary decisively after securing Gov. Josh Shapiro’s endorsement, faces an incumbent who has consistently outperformed the district’s slight Democratic lean in presidential voting. Recent polls show Fitzpatrick holding a narrow edge, reflecting his crossover appeal and fundraising advantage amid limited major national shifts so far. Key upcoming developments that could widen separation include further polling trends, campaign spending patterns, and any late-cycle national political or economic signals affecting suburban turnout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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