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政治·祕魯

祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者

icon for 祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者
政治·祕魯

祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者

藤森惠子 100.0%

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿里亞加 <1%

弗拉迪米爾·塞龍 <1%

菲奧雷拉·莫利內利 <1%

Polymarket

$2,561,354 交易量

藤森惠子 100.0%

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿里亞加 <1%

弗拉迪米爾·塞龍 <1%

菲奧雷拉·莫利內利 <1%

Polymarket

$2,561,354 交易量

icon for 拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿里亞加

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿里亞加

$386,271 交易量

否

icon for 弗拉迪米爾·塞龍

弗拉迪米爾·塞龍

$23,181 交易量

否

icon for 菲奧雷拉·莫利內利

菲奧雷拉·莫利內利

$20,542 交易量

否

icon for 卡洛斯·埃斯帕

卡洛斯·埃斯帕

$39,378 交易量

否

icon for 尤尼·萊斯卡諾

尤尼·萊斯卡諾

$26,878 交易量

否

icon for 羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾

$219,739 交易量

否

icon for 藤森惠子

藤森惠子

$945,470 交易量

是

icon for 羅伯托·奇亞布拉

羅伯托·奇亞布拉

$19,821 交易量

否

icon for 荷西·威廉斯

荷西·威廉斯

$24,448 交易量

否

icon for 費爾南多·奧利維拉

費爾南多·奧利維拉

$19,372 交易量

否

icon for 拉斐爾·貝勞恩德·羅薩

拉斐爾·貝勞恩德·羅薩

$27,488 交易量

否

icon for 馬里索爾·佩雷斯·特略

馬里索爾·佩雷斯·特略

$41,515 交易量

否

icon for 馬里奧·維茲卡拉

馬里奧·維茲卡拉

$16,997 交易量

否

icon for 塞薩爾·阿庫尼亞

塞薩爾·阿庫尼亞

$23,764 交易量

否

icon for 荷西·盧納

荷西·盧納

$13,835 交易量

否

icon for 喬治·涅托

喬治·涅托

$195,412 交易量

否

icon for 沃爾夫岡·格羅佐

沃爾夫岡·格羅佐

$17,108 交易量

否

icon for 卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯

卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯

$159,265 交易量

否

icon for 阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏

阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏

$106,007 交易量

否

icon for 喬治·福賽斯

喬治·福賽斯

$10,668 交易量

否

icon for 恩里克·瓦爾德拉馬

恩里克·瓦爾德拉馬

$8,790 交易量

否

icon for 里卡多·貝爾蒙特

里卡多·貝爾蒙特

$204,210 交易量

否

icon for 梅西亞斯·格瓦拉

梅西亞斯·格瓦拉

$11,193 交易量

否

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori secured a decisive lead in Peru’s April 2026 first-round presidential vote, finishing well ahead of Roberto Sánchez and Rafael López Aliaga according to near-complete official tallies. Her established congressional network, repeated national candidacies, and positioning on security and economic issues consolidated conservative support amid a crowded field of more than 30 contenders. With over 99 percent of ballots counted and no realistic path for challengers to close the gap, traders assign her virtually certain status as first-round winner ahead of the June 7 runoff. Only unresolved certification disputes or last-minute legal interventions in the remaining fraction of votes could alter the outcome.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$2,561,354
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori secured a decisive lead in Peru’s April 2026 first-round presidential vote, finishing well ahead of Roberto Sánchez and Rafael López Aliaga according to near-complete official tallies. Her established congressional network, repeated national candidacies, and positioning on security and economic issues consolidated conservative support amid a crowded field of more than 30 contenders. With over 99 percent of ballots counted and no realistic path for challengers to close the gap, traders assign her virtually certain status as first-round winner ahead of the June 7 runoff. Only unresolved certification disputes or last-minute legal interventions in the remaining fraction of votes could alter the outcome.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$2,561,354
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "藤森惠子" at 100%, followed by "拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿里亞加" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" has generated $2.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" is "藤森惠子" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿里亞加" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.