The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May 27 Monetary Policy Statement is expected to leave the official cash rate unchanged at 2.25 percent, consistent with the April decision and the market-implied probability of 86 percent for no change. Traders are pricing in this outcome because the central bank has signaled a willingness to look through near-term inflationary effects from Middle East-related energy price increases while monitoring contained core inflation, weak domestic demand, and elevated spare capacity. Recent Survey of Expectations data showed one-year-ahead CPI inflation expectations rising to 3.41 percent, yet the committee continues to emphasize vigilance on wage growth and medium-term price stability before considering any tightening. An increase remains a modest 14.5 percent probability, reflecting limited room for immediate policy adjustment ahead of the next scheduled review.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於No Change 86%
Increase 15%
Decrease <1%
$30,488 交易量
$30,488 交易量
Increase
15%
No Change
86%
Decrease
<1%
No Change 86%
Increase 15%
Decrease <1%
$30,488 交易量
$30,488 交易量
Increase
15%
No Change
86%
Decrease
<1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May 27 Monetary Policy Statement is expected to leave the official cash rate unchanged at 2.25 percent, consistent with the April decision and the market-implied probability of 86 percent for no change. Traders are pricing in this outcome because the central bank has signaled a willingness to look through near-term inflationary effects from Middle East-related energy price increases while monitoring contained core inflation, weak domestic demand, and elevated spare capacity. Recent Survey of Expectations data showed one-year-ahead CPI inflation expectations rising to 3.41 percent, yet the committee continues to emphasize vigilance on wage growth and medium-term price stability before considering any tightening. An increase remains a modest 14.5 percent probability, reflecting limited room for immediate policy adjustment ahead of the next scheduled review.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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