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政治·Bolojan

羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？

icon for 羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？
政治·Bolojan

羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？

是

9% 機率
Polymarket

$52,361 交易量

是

9% 機率
Polymarket

$52,361 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania’s parliament faces dissolution only after two successive prime-minister investiture failures within a 60-day window following the May 5 no-confidence vote that ended the Bolojan government. President Nicușor Dan has begun consultations with party leaders and signaled formation of a new pro-European cabinet in a reasonable timeframe, while explicitly ruling out early elections ahead of the 2028 cycle. PSD and AUR, despite their joint motion, have indicated reluctance to prolong the impasse, and ongoing coalition talks focus on fiscal priorities and the August 31 EU Recovery and Resilience Plan deadline. With the caretaker administration holding limited powers only until a new majority is confirmed, these procedural safeguards and political incentives leave traders with little expectation of the constitutional threshold being reached by July 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$52,361
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania’s parliament faces dissolution only after two successive prime-minister investiture failures within a 60-day window following the May 5 no-confidence vote that ended the Bolojan government. President Nicușor Dan has begun consultations with party leaders and signaled formation of a new pro-European cabinet in a reasonable timeframe, while explicitly ruling out early elections ahead of the 2028 cycle. PSD and AUR, despite their joint motion, have indicated reluctance to prolong the impasse, and ongoing coalition talks focus on fiscal priorities and the August 31 EU Recovery and Resilience Plan deadline. With the caretaker administration holding limited powers only until a new majority is confirmed, these procedural safeguards and political incentives leave traders with little expectation of the constitutional threshold being reached by July 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$52,361
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "羅馬尼亞議會將於7月31日前解散嗎？" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？" has generated $52.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？" is "羅馬尼亞議會將於7月31日前解散嗎？" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "羅馬尼亞議會在7月31日前解散？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.