Recent developments show that Reps. Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick resigned from the House in April amid separate ethics inquiries and misconduct allegations, narrowing the remaining question to whether Rep. Cory Mills will also depart before the May 31 deadline. Mills continues to serve despite accusations involving campaign finance and personal conduct, with the House Ethics Committee process proceeding slowly and no resignation announcement or scheduled expulsion vote in the immediate term. This timeline gap underpins the 89.5 percent implied probability that not all four members will be out by the end of the month, as traders weigh the low historical rate of rapid congressional removals against the absence of new catalysts for Mills in the final weeks of May.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$27,623 交易量
$27,623 交易量
2026-05-31
是
$27,623 交易量
$27,623 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent developments show that Reps. Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick resigned from the House in April amid separate ethics inquiries and misconduct allegations, narrowing the remaining question to whether Rep. Cory Mills will also depart before the May 31 deadline. Mills continues to serve despite accusations involving campaign finance and personal conduct, with the House Ethics Committee process proceeding slowly and no resignation announcement or scheduled expulsion vote in the immediate term. This timeline gap underpins the 89.5 percent implied probability that not all four members will be out by the end of the month, as traders weigh the low historical rate of rapid congressional removals against the absence of new catalysts for Mills in the final weeks of May.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
交易量
$27,623結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent developments show that Reps. Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick resigned from the House in April amid separate ethics inquiries and misconduct allegations, narrowing the remaining question to whether Rep. Cory Mills will also depart before the May 31 deadline. Mills continues to serve despite accusations involving campaign finance and personal conduct, with the House Ethics Committee process proceeding slowly and no resignation announcement or scheduled expulsion vote in the immediate term. This timeline gap underpins the 89.5 percent implied probability that not all four members will be out by the end of the month, as traders weigh the low historical rate of rapid congressional removals against the absence of new catalysts for Mills in the final weeks of May.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$27,623結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments show that Reps. Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick resigned from the House in April amid separate ethics inquiries and misconduct allegations, narrowing the remaining question to whether Rep. Cory Mills will also depart before the May 31 deadline. Mills continues to serve despite accusations involving campaign finance and personal conduct, with the House Ethics Committee process proceeding slowly and no resignation announcement or scheduled expulsion vote in the immediate term. This timeline gap underpins the 89.5 percent implied probability that not all four members will be out by the end of the month, as traders weigh the low historical rate of rapid congressional removals against the absence of new catalysts for Mills in the final weeks of May.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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