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政治·全球選舉

瑞典議會選舉贏家

icon for 瑞典議會選舉贏家
政治·全球選舉

瑞典議會選舉贏家

瑞典社會民主工人黨（S） 91%

瑞典民主黨（SD） 4.3%

溫和黨（M） 3.6%

公民聯盟（MED） <1%

Polymarket

$1,100,658 交易量

瑞典社會民主工人黨（S） 91%

瑞典民主黨（SD） 4.3%

溫和黨（M） 3.6%

公民聯盟（MED） <1%

Polymarket

$1,100,658 交易量

icon for 瑞典社會民主工人黨（S）

瑞典社會民主工人黨（S）

$36,469 交易量

91%

icon for 瑞典民主黨（SD）

瑞典民主黨（SD）

$513,900 交易量

4%

icon for 溫和黨（M）

溫和黨（M）

$380,469 交易量

4%

icon for 公民聯盟（MED）

公民聯盟（MED）

$14,084 交易量

1%

icon for 基督教民主黨（KD）

基督教民主黨（KD）

$14,543 交易量

<1%

icon for 左翼黨（V）

左翼黨（V）

$15,128 交易量

<1%

icon for 中間黨（C）

中間黨（C）

$16,666 交易量

<1%

icon for 自由黨（L）

自由黨（L）

$14,829 交易量

<1%

icon for 綠黨（MP）

綠黨（MP）

$94,570 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).The Swedish Social Democratic Party's sustained lead in recent opinion polls, averaging around 33 percent as of early May 2026 and ahead of the Sweden Democrats by roughly 13 points, drives trader consensus on its strong position to win the most Riksdag seats in the September 13 general election. This reflects stable voter support for the largest party under proportional representation, with red-green bloc projections often nearing or exceeding 190 seats compared to the Tidö-aligned parties. Recent polling from Ipsos, Novus, and Demoskop shows little erosion despite government efforts on immigration and security. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major scandals involving party leaders, unexpected economic downturns, or significant polling misses of historical magnitude, though structural factors like the four percent threshold limit smaller parties' chances.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$1,100,658
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).The Swedish Social Democratic Party's sustained lead in recent opinion polls, averaging around 33 percent as of early May 2026 and ahead of the Sweden Democrats by roughly 13 points, drives trader consensus on its strong position to win the most Riksdag seats in the September 13 general election. This reflects stable voter support for the largest party under proportional representation, with red-green bloc projections often nearing or exceeding 190 seats compared to the Tidö-aligned parties. Recent polling from Ipsos, Novus, and Demoskop shows little erosion despite government efforts on immigration and security. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major scandals involving party leaders, unexpected economic downturns, or significant polling misses of historical magnitude, though structural factors like the four percent threshold limit smaller parties' chances.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$1,100,658
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"瑞典議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "瑞典社會民主工人黨（S）" at 91%, followed by "瑞典民主黨（SD）" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "瑞典議會選舉贏家" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "瑞典議會選舉贏家," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "瑞典議會選舉贏家" is "瑞典社會民主工人黨（S）" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "瑞典民主黨（SD）" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "瑞典議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.