Péter Magyar’s Tisza party secured a two-thirds parliamentary majority in Hungary’s April 2026 elections, prompting the new prime minister to demand President Tamás Sulyok’s immediate resignation by May 31 and threaten constitutional amendments for removal if he refuses. Sulyok, appointed under the prior Fidesz government, has declined to step down and continues performing constitutional duties such as convening parliament, while his office cites the Fundamental Law’s protections for the presidential term. Traders assign a 56.5% probability to Sulyok remaining in office past June 30 because legal barriers to forced removal, including potential Constitutional Court review, create uncertainty despite the legislative supermajority and ongoing political pressure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$123,520 交易量
$123,520 交易量
$123,520 交易量
$123,520 交易量
An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Péter Magyar’s Tisza party secured a two-thirds parliamentary majority in Hungary’s April 2026 elections, prompting the new prime minister to demand President Tamás Sulyok’s immediate resignation by May 31 and threaten constitutional amendments for removal if he refuses. Sulyok, appointed under the prior Fidesz government, has declined to step down and continues performing constitutional duties such as convening parliament, while his office cites the Fundamental Law’s protections for the presidential term. Traders assign a 56.5% probability to Sulyok remaining in office past June 30 because legal barriers to forced removal, including potential Constitutional Court review, create uncertainty despite the legislative supermajority and ongoing political pressure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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