Recent polling in the Republican primary runoff has positioned Ken Paxton slightly ahead of incumbent Senator John Cornyn among likely GOP voters, with surveys from the University of Houston and others showing a tight contest just days before the May 26 vote. This has elevated the Talarico-Paxton pairing as the leading trader consensus for the November general election matchup. Democratic nominee James Talarico secured his party's nomination decisively in the March primary, and subsequent head-to-head surveys indicate he holds narrow leads over both potential Republican opponents. Fundraising records and campaign visibility for Talarico have reinforced perceptions of a competitive race, while the unresolved GOP contest remains the primary near-term driver of outcome probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於塔拉里科與帕克斯頓 63%
塔拉里科與科寧 38%
Crockett 與 Hunt <1%
塔拉里科與亨特 <1%
$721,495 交易量
$721,495 交易量
2026-03-03
塔拉里科與帕克斯頓
63%
塔拉里科與科寧
38%
Crockett 與 Hunt
<1%
塔拉里科與亨特
<1%
Crockett 和 Paxton
<1%
克羅克特與科寧
<1%
其他
<1%
塔拉里科與帕克斯頓 63%
塔拉里科與科寧 38%
Crockett 與 Hunt <1%
塔拉里科與亨特 <1%
$721,495 交易量
$721,495 交易量
2026-03-03
塔拉里科與帕克斯頓
$275,355 交易量
63%
塔拉里科與科寧
$197,112 交易量
38%
Crockett 與 Hunt
$24,730 交易量
<1%
塔拉里科與亨特
$24,058 交易量
<1%
Crockett 和 Paxton
$107,066 交易量
<1%
克羅克特與科寧
$65,651 交易量
<1%
其他
$27,524 交易量
<1%
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polling in the Republican primary runoff has positioned Ken Paxton slightly ahead of incumbent Senator John Cornyn among likely GOP voters, with surveys from the University of Houston and others showing a tight contest just days before the May 26 vote. This has elevated the Talarico-Paxton pairing as the leading trader consensus for the November general election matchup. Democratic nominee James Talarico secured his party's nomination decisively in the March primary, and subsequent head-to-head surveys indicate he holds narrow leads over both potential Republican opponents. Fundraising records and campaign visibility for Talarico have reinforced perceptions of a competitive race, while the unresolved GOP contest remains the primary near-term driver of outcome probabilities.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間： Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
交易量
$721,495結束日期
2026-03-03市場開放時間
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polling in the Republican primary runoff has positioned Ken Paxton slightly ahead of incumbent Senator John Cornyn among likely GOP voters, with surveys from the University of Houston and others showing a tight contest just days before the May 26 vote. This has elevated the Talarico-Paxton pairing as the leading trader consensus for the November general election matchup. Democratic nominee James Talarico secured his party's nomination decisively in the March primary, and subsequent head-to-head surveys indicate he holds narrow leads over both potential Republican opponents. Fundraising records and campaign visibility for Talarico have reinforced perceptions of a competitive race, while the unresolved GOP contest remains the primary near-term driver of outcome probabilities.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$721,495結束日期
2026-03-03市場開放時間
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the Republican primary runoff has positioned Ken Paxton slightly ahead of incumbent Senator John Cornyn among likely GOP voters, with surveys from the University of Houston and others showing a tight contest just days before the May 26 vote. This has elevated the Talarico-Paxton pairing as the leading trader consensus for the November general election matchup. Democratic nominee James Talarico secured his party's nomination decisively in the March primary, and subsequent head-to-head surveys indicate he holds narrow leads over both potential Republican opponents. Fundraising records and campaign visibility for Talarico have reinforced perceptions of a competitive race, while the unresolved GOP contest remains the primary near-term driver of outcome probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions