Incumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding position in California's 27th Congressional District general election due to the seat's shift into solidly Democratic territory after redistricting under Proposition 50, which added Democratic-leaning voters from the northwest San Fernando Valley while removing Republican areas. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan makeup and Whitesides' incumbency advantage following his 2024 victory. His substantial fundraising edge further supports the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The Republican nominee, Santa Clarita City Council member Jason Gibbs, advanced from the June primary but faces structural barriers in a district that favors Democratic candidates in general elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant national political realignment remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$19,272 交易量
$19,272 交易量
2026-11-03
喬治·懷特塞茲（民主黨）
95%
傑森·吉布斯（共和黨）
5%
$19,272 交易量
$19,272 交易量
2026-11-03
喬治·懷特塞茲（民主黨）
$5,738 交易量
95%
傑森·吉布斯（共和黨）
$13,533 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding position in California's 27th Congressional District general election due to the seat's shift into solidly Democratic territory after redistricting under Proposition 50, which added Democratic-leaning voters from the northwest San Fernando Valley while removing Republican areas. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan makeup and Whitesides' incumbency advantage following his 2024 victory. His substantial fundraising edge further supports the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The Republican nominee, Santa Clarita City Council member Jason Gibbs, advanced from the June primary but faces structural barriers in a district that favors Democratic candidates in general elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant national political realignment remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ET
交易量
$19,272結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding position in California's 27th Congressional District general election due to the seat's shift into solidly Democratic territory after redistricting under Proposition 50, which added Democratic-leaning voters from the northwest San Fernando Valley while removing Republican areas. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan makeup and Whitesides' incumbency advantage following his 2024 victory. His substantial fundraising edge further supports the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The Republican nominee, Santa Clarita City Council member Jason Gibbs, advanced from the June primary but faces structural barriers in a district that favors Democratic candidates in general elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant national political realignment remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,272結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETIncumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding position in California's 27th Congressional District general election due to the seat's shift into solidly Democratic territory after redistricting under Proposition 50, which added Democratic-leaning voters from the northwest San Fernando Valley while removing Republican areas. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan makeup and Whitesides' incumbency advantage following his 2024 victory. His substantial fundraising edge further supports the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The Republican nominee, Santa Clarita City Council member Jason Gibbs, advanced from the June primary but faces structural barriers in a district that favors Democratic candidates in general elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant national political realignment remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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