Skip to main content
icon for 誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？
地緣政治·美國x伊朗

誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？

icon for 誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？
地緣政治·美國x伊朗

誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？

$865,702 交易量

2026-07-07
Polymarket

$865,702 交易量

Polymarket

Steve Witkoff

$63,574 交易量

7%

夏巴茲·謝里夫

$61,067 交易量

6%

阿巴斯·阿拉格奇

$166,439 交易量

5%

哈馬德·本·伊薩·阿勒哈利法

$2,949 交易量

5%

賈里德·庫什納

$84,480 交易量

5%

穆罕默德·本·扎耶德·阿勒納哈揚

$3,065 交易量

4%

雷傑普·塔伊普·艾爾多安

$2,204 交易量

4%

JD Vance

$244,176 交易量

3%

阿卜杜勒·法塔赫·塞西

$2,124 交易量

2%

阿卜杜拉二世國王

$22,070 交易量

2%

馬可·魯比奧

$8,822 交易量

2%

班傑明·納坦雅胡

$3,482 交易量

2%

馬蘇德·佩澤什基安

$75,637 交易量

2%

Pete Hegseth

$4,329 交易量

2%

塔米姆·本·哈馬德·阿勒薩尼酋長

$43,986 交易量

1%

米沙勒·艾哈邁德·賈比爾·薩巴赫

$1,540 交易量

1%

穆罕默德·本·薩勒曼

$4,748 交易量

1%

唐納德·特朗普

$55,674 交易量

1%

埃隆·馬斯克

$2,030 交易量

1%

穆賈巴·哈梅內伊

$13,409 交易量

<1%

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. US and Iranian negotiators, with mediation from Pakistan and Qatar, finalized a memorandum of understanding to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on nuclear issues. A formal signing ceremony is set for June 19 at Switzerland’s Burgenstock resort near Lucerne. US representation centers on Vice President JD Vance, while Iranian attendance by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi or Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf could indicate varying levels of support from Tehran’s diplomatic and security establishments. President Trump has already signed a hard copy during recent European travel. The precise attendee list remains fluid and could shift with last-minute diplomatic or domestic considerations on either side.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$865,702
結束日期
2026-07-07
市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. US and Iranian negotiators, with mediation from Pakistan and Qatar, finalized a memorandum of understanding to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on nuclear issues. A formal signing ceremony is set for June 19 at Switzerland’s Burgenstock resort near Lucerne. US representation centers on Vice President JD Vance, while Iranian attendance by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi or Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf could indicate varying levels of support from Tehran’s diplomatic and security establishments. President Trump has already signed a hard copy during recent European travel. The precise attendee list remains fluid and could shift with last-minute diplomatic or domestic considerations on either side.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$865,702
結束日期
2026-07-07
市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Steve Witkoff" at 7%, followed by "夏巴茲·謝里夫" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？" has generated $865.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？" is "Steve Witkoff" at just 7%, with "夏巴茲·謝里夫" close behind at 6%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "誰將參加美國-伊朗簽約儀式？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.