Recent polling across Colombia continues to show the leading candidate, Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact, holding between 35 and 44 percent support with roughly two weeks until the May 31 first round. The remaining vote remains split among multiple right-leaning contenders, including Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia, plus several lower-polling centrists and independents. This fragmentation has kept every major candidate well short of the 50 percent threshold required for an outright first-round victory under Colombian electoral rules. Historical patterns in multi-candidate presidential contests and the absence of any late surge in the latest surveys reinforce trader expectations that a runoff on June 21 will be necessary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$47,000 交易量
$47,000 交易量
2026-05-31
是
$47,000 交易量
$47,000 交易量
2026-05-31
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling across Colombia continues to show the leading candidate, Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact, holding between 35 and 44 percent support with roughly two weeks until the May 31 first round. The remaining vote remains split among multiple right-leaning contenders, including Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia, plus several lower-polling centrists and independents. This fragmentation has kept every major candidate well short of the 50 percent threshold required for an outright first-round victory under Colombian electoral rules. Historical patterns in multi-candidate presidential contests and the absence of any late surge in the latest surveys reinforce trader expectations that a runoff on June 21 will be necessary.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
交易量
$47,000結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling across Colombia continues to show the leading candidate, Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact, holding between 35 and 44 percent support with roughly two weeks until the May 31 first round. The remaining vote remains split among multiple right-leaning contenders, including Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia, plus several lower-polling centrists and independents. This fragmentation has kept every major candidate well short of the 50 percent threshold required for an outright first-round victory under Colombian electoral rules. Historical patterns in multi-candidate presidential contests and the absence of any late surge in the latest surveys reinforce trader expectations that a runoff on June 21 will be necessary.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$47,000結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Recent polling across Colombia continues to show the leading candidate, Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact, holding between 35 and 44 percent support with roughly two weeks until the May 31 first round. The remaining vote remains split among multiple right-leaning contenders, including Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia, plus several lower-polling centrists and independents. This fragmentation has kept every major candidate well short of the 50 percent threshold required for an outright first-round victory under Colombian electoral rules. Historical patterns in multi-candidate presidential contests and the absence of any late surge in the latest surveys reinforce trader expectations that a runoff on June 21 will be necessary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions