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icon for Apple會在6月30日前推出具有行動網路連線功能的MacBook嗎?

Apple會在6月30日前推出具有行動網路連線功能的MacBook嗎?

icon for Apple會在6月30日前推出具有行動網路連線功能的MacBook嗎?

Apple會在6月30日前推出具有行動網路連線功能的MacBook嗎?

14% 機率
Polymarket
最新

14% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91.5% implied probability for "No" on Apple releasing a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, driven primarily by the absence of this feature in Apple's March 2026 launches of M5-powered MacBook Pro and MacBook Air models, which prioritized performance upgrades like M5 Pro/Max chips and improved wireless but relied on iPhone Continuity for cellular relay rather than built-in 5G modems. Persistent supply chain rumors had fueled earlier 2026 speculation, yet no verified prototypes, FCC filings, or official teasers have emerged in the past 60 days to signal an imminent rollout, aligning with Apple's historical delays on laptop cellular integration amid modem development challenges. Upcoming WWDC in early June remains a potential wildcard for surprise announcements, though traders anticipate major redesigns like OLED and touchscreen MacBook Ultra for late 2026 at earliest, underscoring typical product timelines that rarely overlap refreshes within months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,864
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91.5% implied probability for "No" on Apple releasing a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, driven primarily by the absence of this feature in Apple's March 2026 launches of M5-powered MacBook Pro and MacBook Air models, which prioritized performance upgrades like M5 Pro/Max chips and improved wireless but relied on iPhone Continuity for cellular relay rather than built-in 5G modems. Persistent supply chain rumors had fueled earlier 2026 speculation, yet no verified prototypes, FCC filings, or official teasers have emerged in the past 60 days to signal an imminent rollout, aligning with Apple's historical delays on laptop cellular integration amid modem development challenges. Upcoming WWDC in early June remains a potential wildcard for surprise announcements, though traders anticipate major redesigns like OLED and touchscreen MacBook Ultra for late 2026 at earliest, underscoring typical product timelines that rarely overlap refreshes within months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,864
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Apple會在6月30日前推出具有行動網路連線功能的MacBook嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "蘋果會在6月30日之前推出具備蜂窩連線功能的MacBook嗎?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Apple會在6月30日前推出具有行動網路連線功能的MacBook嗎?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 25, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Apple會在6月30日前推出具有行動網路連線功能的MacBook嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Apple會在6月30日前推出具有行動網路連線功能的MacBook嗎?" is "蘋果會在6月30日之前推出具備蜂窩連線功能的MacBook嗎?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Apple會在6月30日前推出具有行動網路連線功能的MacBook嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.