Greenland's Self-Government Act outlines a multi-stage path to independence requiring parliamentary decisions, negotiations with Denmark, and a popular referendum, yet no such vote is scheduled for 2026. The March 2025 parliamentary election delivered a victory to the Democrats party, which favors a gradual approach, while recent polls show majority support for eventual separation from Denmark but strong opposition if living standards would decline. January 2026 statements by Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen reaffirming ties to Denmark amid external interest further reinforced caution. Traders assign 95.5% probability to no 2026 referendum because the current governing coalition and procedural requirements make rapid action unlikely. Late developments such as a sudden coalition shift, major fiscal changes, or accelerated negotiations could still alter timelines within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
5% 機率
$47,956 交易量
$47,956 交易量
2026-12-30
是
5% 機率
$47,956 交易量
$47,956 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Greenland's Self-Government Act outlines a multi-stage path to independence requiring parliamentary decisions, negotiations with Denmark, and a popular referendum, yet no such vote is scheduled for 2026. The March 2025 parliamentary election delivered a victory to the Democrats party, which favors a gradual approach, while recent polls show majority support for eventual separation from Denmark but strong opposition if living standards would decline. January 2026 statements by Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen reaffirming ties to Denmark amid external interest further reinforced caution. Traders assign 95.5% probability to no 2026 referendum because the current governing coalition and procedural requirements make rapid action unlikely. Late developments such as a sudden coalition shift, major fiscal changes, or accelerated negotiations could still alter timelines within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$47,956結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Greenland's Self-Government Act outlines a multi-stage path to independence requiring parliamentary decisions, negotiations with Denmark, and a popular referendum, yet no such vote is scheduled for 2026. The March 2025 parliamentary election delivered a victory to the Democrats party, which favors a gradual approach, while recent polls show majority support for eventual separation from Denmark but strong opposition if living standards would decline. January 2026 statements by Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen reaffirming ties to Denmark amid external interest further reinforced caution. Traders assign 95.5% probability to no 2026 referendum because the current governing coalition and procedural requirements make rapid action unlikely. Late developments such as a sudden coalition shift, major fiscal changes, or accelerated negotiations could still alter timelines within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$47,956結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Greenland's Self-Government Act outlines a multi-stage path to independence requiring parliamentary decisions, negotiations with Denmark, and a popular referendum, yet no such vote is scheduled for 2026. The March 2025 parliamentary election delivered a victory to the Democrats party, which favors a gradual approach, while recent polls show majority support for eventual separation from Denmark but strong opposition if living standards would decline. January 2026 statements by Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen reaffirming ties to Denmark amid external interest further reinforced caution. Traders assign 95.5% probability to no 2026 referendum because the current governing coalition and procedural requirements make rapid action unlikely. Late developments such as a sudden coalition shift, major fiscal changes, or accelerated negotiations could still alter timelines within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions