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政治·特朗普

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 11 - 16)

icon for Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 11 - 16)
政治·特朗普

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 11 - 16)

5月 16

5月 16

最新
2026-05-16
Polymarket

$7,762 交易量

Polymarket

May 13

$3,883 交易量

98%

May 14

$1,860 交易量

94%

May 15

$484 交易量

45%

May 16

$107 交易量

59%

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).President Trump's public schedule drives White House full lid calls, signaling the end of daily public activities via press pool reports tracked by Roll Call Factba.se. On May 11, a Rose Garden dinner pushed the lid to 8:10 PM ET; May 12's departure for a bilateral summit with China's Xi Jinping in Beijing extended activities past 6:30 PM during Alaska refueling. Today, May 13, an early 8:43 AM ET full lid followed arrival in Beijing amid time zone shifts. Trader consensus reflects summit events on May 14-15—like a state banquet and bilaterals—that may spill into U.S. evening hours due to 12-hour differences, while May 16 shows no listed events, favoring an early resolution. Schedules can change via executive time or unscheduled remarks.

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
交易量
$7,762
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
May 8, 2026, 12:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

已提議結果: Yes

爭議期

最終

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).President Trump's public schedule drives White House full lid calls, signaling the end of daily public activities via press pool reports tracked by Roll Call Factba.se. On May 11, a Rose Garden dinner pushed the lid to 8:10 PM ET; May 12's departure for a bilateral summit with China's Xi Jinping in Beijing extended activities past 6:30 PM during Alaska refueling. Today, May 13, an early 8:43 AM ET full lid followed arrival in Beijing amid time zone shifts. Trader consensus reflects summit events on May 14-15—like a state banquet and bilaterals—that may spill into U.S. evening hours due to 12-hour differences, while May 16 shows no listed events, favoring an early resolution. Schedules can change via executive time or unscheduled remarks.

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
交易量
$7,762
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
May 8, 2026, 12:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

已提議結果: Yes

爭議期

最終

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 11 - 16)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 13" at 98%, followed by "May 14" at 94%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 11 - 16)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 11 - 16)," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 11 - 16)" is "May 13" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "May 14" at 94%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 11 - 16)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.