xAI's Grok models currently trail leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which tops the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of advanced mathematical reasoning featuring unpublished research-level problems—at around 48%, while Grok 4 scores approximately 14% in Epoch AI evaluations. Recent xAI releases, including efficient Grok 4.3 (500B parameters) dominating coding benchmarks like PinchBench (81%) and instruction-following tests, signal rapid iteration and competitive scaling via massive GPU clusters, fueling trader optimism for math gains. Elon Musk's teases of Grok matching top rivals by June heighten anticipation for a potential Grok 5 rollout or reevaluation before the June 30 deadline, though FrontierMath's contamination-resistant design poses steep barriers amid uncertain timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$20,870 交易量
2026-02-28
25%+
57%
30%+
49%
40%+
44%
50%以上
16%
$20,870 交易量
25%+
$5,197 交易量
57%
30%+
$12,605 交易量
49%
40%+
$2,898 交易量
44%
50%以上
$170 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently trail leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which tops the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of advanced mathematical reasoning featuring unpublished research-level problems—at around 48%, while Grok 4 scores approximately 14% in Epoch AI evaluations. Recent xAI releases, including efficient Grok 4.3 (500B parameters) dominating coding benchmarks like PinchBench (81%) and instruction-following tests, signal rapid iteration and competitive scaling via massive GPU clusters, fueling trader optimism for math gains. Elon Musk's teases of Grok matching top rivals by June heighten anticipation for a potential Grok 5 rollout or reevaluation before the June 30 deadline, though FrontierMath's contamination-resistant design poses steep barriers amid uncertain timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$20,870結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently trail leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which tops the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of advanced mathematical reasoning featuring unpublished research-level problems—at around 48%, while Grok 4 scores approximately 14% in Epoch AI evaluations. Recent xAI releases, including efficient Grok 4.3 (500B parameters) dominating coding benchmarks like PinchBench (81%) and instruction-following tests, signal rapid iteration and competitive scaling via massive GPU clusters, fueling trader optimism for math gains. Elon Musk's teases of Grok matching top rivals by June heighten anticipation for a potential Grok 5 rollout or reevaluation before the June 30 deadline, though FrontierMath's contamination-resistant design poses steep barriers amid uncertain timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$20,870結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's Grok models currently trail leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which tops the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of advanced mathematical reasoning featuring unpublished research-level problems—at around 48%, while Grok 4 scores approximately 14% in Epoch AI evaluations. Recent xAI releases, including efficient Grok 4.3 (500B parameters) dominating coding benchmarks like PinchBench (81%) and instruction-following tests, signal rapid iteration and competitive scaling via massive GPU clusters, fueling trader optimism for math gains. Elon Musk's teases of Grok matching top rivals by June heighten anticipation for a potential Grok 5 rollout or reevaluation before the June 30 deadline, though FrontierMath's contamination-resistant design poses steep barriers amid uncertain timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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