**Özgür Özel, leader of Turkey’s main opposition CHP, faces sustained judicial pressure following a May 2026 Ankara appeals court ruling that annulled the 2023 party congress and suspended him along with the executive board.** Other CHP figures have been detained in a related probe into alleged irregularities at that congress, yet Özel himself remains at liberty and politically active as of mid-June 2026. Recent steps by his supporters—including mass resignations from the party assembly on June 11 to force an extraordinary congress—have focused on internal party procedures rather than triggering detention. The brief window until June 30, combined with the pattern of court-led disqualifications and targeted actions against other opposition figures such as Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, underpins traders’ strong consensus that an arrest is unlikely before the cutoff. A sudden escalation in the ongoing criminal review of congress-related claims remains the primary, though currently low-probability, development that could alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,925 交易量
$28,925 交易量
2026-06-30
$28,925 交易量
$28,925 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Özgür Özel, leader of Turkey’s main opposition CHP, faces sustained judicial pressure following a May 2026 Ankara appeals court ruling that annulled the 2023 party congress and suspended him along with the executive board.** Other CHP figures have been detained in a related probe into alleged irregularities at that congress, yet Özel himself remains at liberty and politically active as of mid-June 2026. Recent steps by his supporters—including mass resignations from the party assembly on June 11 to force an extraordinary congress—have focused on internal party procedures rather than triggering detention. The brief window until June 30, combined with the pattern of court-led disqualifications and targeted actions against other opposition figures such as Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, underpins traders’ strong consensus that an arrest is unlikely before the cutoff. A sudden escalation in the ongoing criminal review of congress-related claims remains the primary, though currently low-probability, development that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ET
交易量
$28,925結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Özgür Özel, leader of Turkey’s main opposition CHP, faces sustained judicial pressure following a May 2026 Ankara appeals court ruling that annulled the 2023 party congress and suspended him along with the executive board.** Other CHP figures have been detained in a related probe into alleged irregularities at that congress, yet Özel himself remains at liberty and politically active as of mid-June 2026. Recent steps by his supporters—including mass resignations from the party assembly on June 11 to force an extraordinary congress—have focused on internal party procedures rather than triggering detention. The brief window until June 30, combined with the pattern of court-led disqualifications and targeted actions against other opposition figures such as Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, underpins traders’ strong consensus that an arrest is unlikely before the cutoff. A sudden escalation in the ongoing criminal review of congress-related claims remains the primary, though currently low-probability, development that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$28,925結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Özgür Özel, leader of Turkey’s main opposition CHP, faces sustained judicial pressure following a May 2026 Ankara appeals court ruling that annulled the 2023 party congress and suspended him along with the executive board.** Other CHP figures have been detained in a related probe into alleged irregularities at that congress, yet Özel himself remains at liberty and politically active as of mid-June 2026. Recent steps by his supporters—including mass resignations from the party assembly on June 11 to force an extraordinary congress—have focused on internal party procedures rather than triggering detention. The brief window until June 30, combined with the pattern of court-led disqualifications and targeted actions against other opposition figures such as Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, underpins traders’ strong consensus that an arrest is unlikely before the cutoff. A sudden escalation in the ongoing criminal review of congress-related claims remains the primary, though currently low-probability, development that could alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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