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人工 預測與賠率

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工黨領袖選舉排定於... ?

工黨領袖選舉排定於... ?

99%

December 31, 2026

$127K 交易量

$35.5K Liq.

14

Ends 6 天內

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

100%

Andy Burnham

$96.3K 交易量

$48.1K Liq.

8

Ends 6 個月內

伯納姆在2026年工黨領袖競賽中無人反對?

伯納姆在2026年工黨領袖競賽中無人反對?

90%

$5.3K 交易量

$11.8K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

40%

45-49

$1.9K 交易量

$16.2K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

48%

Labour

$93 交易量

$164 Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

2026年下任英國首相?

2026年下任英國首相?

97%

安迪·伯納姆

$14M 交易量

$597K today

$2M Liq.

123

Ends 6 個月內

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

83%

Starmer - UK PM

$4M 交易量

$330K today

$646K Liq.

82

Ends 6 個月內

New Zealand legislative election winner?

New Zealand legislative election winner?

71%

Labour Party

$16.6K 交易量

$69.3K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

2026年下任英國財政大臣?

2026年下任英國財政大臣?

60%

韋斯·斯崔廷

$114K 交易量

$81.4K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

60%

National Party

$5.1K 交易量

$24.7K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

由……任命的下一任英國首相?

由……任命的下一任英國首相?

98%

9月30日

$30.8K 交易量

$74.7K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

大曼徹斯特市長選舉獲勝者

大曼徹斯特市長選舉獲勝者

81%

貝夫·克雷格

$38.5K 交易量

$247K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 1 個月內

史塔默正式離任時間是… ?

史塔默正式離任時間是… ?

89%

July 31

$21.7K 交易量

$40.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

2026年下任英國外交大臣?

2026年下任英國外交大臣?

27%

2026 年沒有下一任外交大臣

$10.9K 交易量

$47.7K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

53%

National + ACT + NZF

$9.0K 交易量

$42.0K Liq.

5

Ends 5 個月內

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

72%

NHS 3+ times

$19.4K 交易量

$962 Liq.

Ends 大約 19 小時內

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

57%

New Zealand First Party

$3.2K 交易量

$27.2K Liq.

1

Ends 5 個月內

英國大選由...召開?

英國大選由...召開?

40%

June 30, 2027

$795K 交易量

$11.2K Liq.

15

Ends 6 個月前

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

25%

Labour 10-15%

$1.8K 交易量

$9.0K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

55%

Labour Party

$938 交易量

$753 Liq.

8

Ends 5 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 23 active markets for 人工 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “工黨領袖選舉排定於... ?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026年下任英國首相?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026年下任英國首相?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to 安迪·伯納姆. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 人工 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.