Recent USGS monitoring shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the 7.4 event off Japan on April 20, 2026, following several M7+ quakes earlier in the year including events in Indonesia and Vanuatu. Globally, such earthquakes occur at an average rate of 15–20 per year, or roughly one every two to three weeks according to historical catalogs. The USGS maintains continuous seismic surveillance through its global network, with recent activity limited to smaller events below magnitude 5.0. Traders watch for new catalog updates or shifts in regional strain patterns that could signal an imminent large rupture before market resolution dates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于又发生了7.0级或以上的地震…… ？
又发生了7.0级或以上的地震…… ？
$29,245 交易量
2026-05-31
5月15日
<1%
5月30日
43%
$29,245 交易量
5月15日
$6,811 交易量
<1%
5月30日
$9,186 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent USGS monitoring shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the 7.4 event off Japan on April 20, 2026, following several M7+ quakes earlier in the year including events in Indonesia and Vanuatu. Globally, such earthquakes occur at an average rate of 15–20 per year, or roughly one every two to three weeks according to historical catalogs. The USGS maintains continuous seismic surveillance through its global network, with recent activity limited to smaller events below magnitude 5.0. Traders watch for new catalog updates or shifts in regional strain patterns that could signal an imminent large rupture before market resolution dates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
交易量
$29,245结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent USGS monitoring shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the 7.4 event off Japan on April 20, 2026, following several M7+ quakes earlier in the year including events in Indonesia and Vanuatu. Globally, such earthquakes occur at an average rate of 15–20 per year, or roughly one every two to three weeks according to historical catalogs. The USGS maintains continuous seismic surveillance through its global network, with recent activity limited to smaller events below magnitude 5.0. Traders watch for new catalog updates or shifts in regional strain patterns that could signal an imminent large rupture before market resolution dates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$29,245结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent USGS monitoring shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the 7.4 event off Japan on April 20, 2026, following several M7+ quakes earlier in the year including events in Indonesia and Vanuatu. Globally, such earthquakes occur at an average rate of 15–20 per year, or roughly one every two to three weeks according to historical catalogs. The USGS maintains continuous seismic surveillance through its global network, with recent activity limited to smaller events below magnitude 5.0. Traders watch for new catalog updates or shifts in regional strain patterns that could signal an imminent large rupture before market resolution dates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题