Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate a transitional spring pattern for Los Angeles on May 19, with onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer likely capping daytime highs near 72–74 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in the afternoon maximum, driven by variable cloud cover and sea-breeze timing that can shift peak temperatures by 2–3 °F. Historical May climatology places the normal high around 73 °F, providing a baseline against which current guidance is measured. Because the most probable outcomes cluster tightly, traders are weighting the latest 12z and 00z model updates, which will be refined by tomorrow’s morning soundings and any changes in the subtropical ridge position.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月19日洛杉矶最高温度?
74°F or higher 40%
72-73°F 30%
70-71°F 12%
68-69°F 11%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
30%
74°F or higher
39%
74°F or higher 40%
72-73°F 30%
70-71°F 12%
68-69°F 11%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
30%
74°F or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate a transitional spring pattern for Los Angeles on May 19, with onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer likely capping daytime highs near 72–74 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in the afternoon maximum, driven by variable cloud cover and sea-breeze timing that can shift peak temperatures by 2–3 °F. Historical May climatology places the normal high around 73 °F, providing a baseline against which current guidance is measured. Because the most probable outcomes cluster tightly, traders are weighting the latest 12z and 00z model updates, which will be refined by tomorrow’s morning soundings and any changes in the subtropical ridge position.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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